A Behavioral Economic Analysis of Payday Lending
Regulation in Canada
by
Aiden Talai, B.A. (Hons), LL.B., B.C.L.
A thesis submitted in conformity with the requirements
for the degree of Master of Law
Faculty of Law
University of Toronto
© Copyright by Aiden Talai (2014)
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A Behavioural Economic Analysis of Payday Lending
Regulation in Canada
Aiden Talai
Master of Laws
Faculty of Law
University of Toronto
2014
Abstract
Payday lending regulation in Canada assumes that if borrowers are provided the
statistical determinants of a prospective loan, they will make efficient borrowing
decisions. This paper argues this disclosure framework is misguided. Specifically, it rests
on the notion that consumer-decision makers are inherently rational actors. However,
behavioral economics helps demonstrate that most borrowing decisions are guided by
cognitive biases that cloud people’s ability to make informed decisions. In turn, payday
borrowers routinely incur unexpected additional costs, often resulting in financial
paralysis. Moreover, payday lenders, keenly aware of consumer psychology, design and
package their loan products to exploit these biases. Accordingly, this paper suggests that
Canadian policymakers adopt a correlative strategy, namely, applying mandated
disclosure regimes that employ cognitive biases to counteract others. These measures
would make the potential consequences of payday loan related overindebtedness
more apparent to borrowers, improving the accuracy of their evaluation of the likelihood
of the occurrence.
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Table of Contents
Chapter 1 Introduction ........................................................................................ 1
Chapter 2 The History of Payday Lending Regulation in Canada ................ 18
Chapter 3 Behavioral Economics, Bounded Rationality and the Consumer
............................................................................................................................ 27
Chapter 4 Behavioral Economic Analysis and Payday Lending Reform in
Canada ............................................................................................................... 36
1 Imperfect Self-Control ................................................................................. 36
2 Optimism Bias ............................................................................................. 40
3 Hyperbolic Discounting .............................................................................. 43
Chapter 5 A Behavioral Approach to Regulation ........................................... 47
Chapter 6 Conclusion ....................................................................................... 68
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Chapter 1
Introduction
Carla, a twenty-something single mother of two, depends heavily on her car. She
purchased it used after having saved up for the better part of a year. The car has
substantially improved her family's mobility and, by extension, the quality of their lives.
For instance, it made it possible for Carla to transfer her children, both of whom suffer
from learning disabilities, to an alternative program at a school outside their
neighborhood's yellow bus network. It also allowed her to secure a job as a delivery
woman for a local courier company, which provides considerably better working hours
than her previous job working the graveyard shift as a cashier at a 24-hour convenience
store.
On a Friday, while driving home, following Carla's last shift of the workweek, the car
began to rattle and make uncharacteristic noises. Carla pulled into a nearby garage to
have the car inspected. The mechanic informed her that the car's fan belt was broken. He
could replace it over the weekend, at a cost of $250, thereby ensuring that Carla would
not miss her next shift and could also drive her children to school by the start of the next
school week.
Carla has approximately 48 hours to determine how she will cover the cost of the repair.
She currently has enough money jointly in her checking and savings account to cover the
balance. Covering the cost of the repair with her savings, however, will leave her with
very little money, between now and her next paycheck, to cover day-to-day expenses,
such as groceries, let alone less foreseeable expenses, such as additional car repairs. In
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addition, Carla does not have access to immediate sources of low-cost consumer credit,
such as a credit card or line of credit, largely the consequence of an impaired credit
history. Walking home from the garage, Carla's attention is caught by the banners
plastering the windows of a Money Mart location on Bloor Street in Toronto's west end,
advertising low-cost, hassle-free cash advances 'as easy as 1-2-3.' She decides to solicit
further information inside the store from a company representative. The representative
explains that Money Mart will advance her $300 for 14 days in exchange for a one-time
fee of $63, in cash, in as little as an hour. Carla opts to take the loan on the simple
assumption that deferring the cost of the car repairs is worth the one-time fee.
The credit transaction Carla has entered into is commonly referred to as a payday loan.
Payday loans are small, short-term cash advances offered at very high effective interest
rates to borrowers with impaired credit histories, that is borrowers who mainstream
financial institutions typically view as a high credit risk.
1
Borrowers can generally apply
for these loans either in person, at a payday lender's retail location, or over the Internet,
on a lender's website.
2
To qualify for a typical payday loan, a borrower need only hold
an active bank account and demonstrate proof of employment income; an up-to-date bank
statement and recent pay stub usually suffice.
3
If a prospective borrower satisfies these
criteria, lenders will cement the contractual deal by extending a loan on one date in
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1
Ronald J. Mann and Jim Hawkins, "Just Until Payday" (2007) 54 UCLA L. Rev. 855 at 857; Karen E.
Francis, "Rollover, Rollover: A Behavioral Law and Economic Analysis of the Payday-Loan Industry"
(2009-2010) 88 Tex. L. Rev. 611 at 611; Brian T. Melzer, "The Real Costs of Credit Access: Evidence from
the Payday Lending Market" (2011) 126 The Quarterly Journal of Economics 1 at 517; Jesse Bellam and
Aiden Talai, "Short-Term Emergency Lending: Examining Usury and Consumer Credit Protection Law in
the United States and Canada" (2012) 2 Western Journal of Legal Studies 1 at 1.
2
This latter option is only available in certain Canadian provinces, namely, Alberta, British Columbia,
Nova Scotia, Ontario and Saskatchewan.
3
See "Payday Loans", online: Money Mart <http://www.moneymart.ca>; "Short-Term Loans", online:
Cash Store Financial <http://www.csfinancial.ca>; "Payday Loans", online: Stop n' Cash
<http://www.stopncash.com>.
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consideration for a promise usually collateralized by a postdated check to repay the
loan amount as well as a standard fee typically in the range of $20 to $25 per $100
borrowed – by the maturity date on the loan, generally two weeks from the date on which
the loan was first issued.
4
Payday loans have become something of a lightning rod for criticism. Opponents of
payday lending argue that "the terms of a typical payday loan combine to trap cash-
strapped consumers in a cycle of debt."
5
More specifically, critics argue that the finance
charges levied against borrowers are so excessive that they "immediately [put] an
obstacle in the way of the borrower's ability to repay the loan."
6
In turn, a cycle of
financial distress is virtually assured, because the core characteristics of the payday loan
product an exorbitant effective interest rate coupled with a limited window for
repayment requires borrowers to allocate a substantial share of their next paycheck to
repaying the loan, which "leaves most borrowers inadequate funds for their other
obligations, compelling them to take a new payday loan almost immediately."
7
Parrish
and King estimate that repeat borrowing accounts for nearly three quarters of the entire
volume of payday loans.
8
The authors' tabulation of loan-level data also demonstrates
that more than half of these “new loans are taken out at the borrower's first opportunity
upon paying a previous loan back," that is within less than one day of repayment.
9
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4
Mann and Hawkins, supra note 1 at 863.
5
Laura Etherton, "Predatory Lending in Lane County: A Survey of Payday Lending in Eugene and
Springfield" (2006) Oregon Student Public Research Interest Group, online: OSPIRG
<http://www.ospirg.org> at 9.
6
Ibid.
7
Leslie Parrish and Uriah King, "Phantom Demand: Short-term due date generates need for repeat payday
loans, accounting for 76% of total volume" (2009) Center for Responsible Lending, online: CRL
<http://www.responsiblelending.com> at 2.
8
Ibid at 2-3.
9
Ibid at 2.
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Another oft-criticized feature of payday loans is the conditions imposed on borrowers
who wish to refinance an existing payday loan. In particular, opponents argue that the
cost of refinancing drastically exacerbates the extent to which "borrowers get into cycles
of chronic borrowing at high interest rates."
10
Unlike conventional consumer credit,
borrowers are typically required to repay their payday loans in a single payment, rather
than through payments over time.
11
Lenders sometimes insert contractual clauses that
either expressly disallow installment payments or render them prohibitively expensive by
assessing borrowers additional finance charges to process them.
12
Accordingly, when a
payday loan reaches maturity, a borrower must either pay the entire balance owing,
namely, the principal and related interest, or extend the loan for another term and pay an
additional interest charge. These loan renewals, commonly referred to as a "rollovers,"
impose substantial costs on borrowers, because "the penalty fees and/or the charges
associated with [the] new loan increase the borrower's short-term debt load and make the
loan increasingly difficult to repay."
13
For instance, if a borrower rolls over a $300 loan
with a $45 fee three times before fully repaying the loan, he or she will pay four $45 fees,
or $180, and still owe the $300 principal, thereby ballooning that borrower's debt
obligation to $480 within two months of taking out the initial loan (assuming the standard
two-week maturity rate applies). Even where rollovers are statutorily prohibited, as is the
case in the Province of Ontario, legislation rarely prevents borrowers from carrying loans
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10
Susan Payne Carter et al., "The Difference a Day (Doesn't) Make: Does Giving Borrowers More Time to
Repay Break the Cycle of Repeated Payday Loan Borrowing?" (Paper delivered at the American Economic
Association, 5 January 2013), online: AEA <http://www.aeaweb.org>.
11
Etherton supra note 5 at 9.
12
Ibid at 10.
13
Andrew Kitching and Sheena Starky, "Legislative Summary (PRB 05-81E0 Payday Loan Companies in
Canada: Determining the Public Interest" Parliamentary Information and Research Service (26 January
2006), online: Parliament of Canada <http://www.publications.gc.ca>.
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from other lenders or from restarting the debt cycle immediately after the existing loan
has been paid.
14
In these cases, the borrower will either default on the loan, thereby
allowing the lender to exercise its interest in the post-dated check collateralizing the loan,
or secure repayment by taking out a loan from a third-party payday lender. All told,
opponents of payday lending contend that heavy short-term debt loads often prompt
borrowers to rely on extensions of existing or additional payday loans to compensate for
their ballooning debt obligations. In turn, payday borrowers habitually find themselves
re-borrowing and are thereby ultimately mired in a cycle of debt, "continually paying
interest and other charges that quickly exceed the initial value of the loan in order to
avoid defaulting."
15
In this sense, consumer advocates suggest that payday lending is predatory by design.
Not only do high fees, short-term due dates, and single balloon payments work to ensure
repeated borrowing and a long-term cycle of debt, but also loans are often packaged in
ways that obscure their true costs.
16
Loan terms often include complex interest-rate
structures, transaction fees, late penalties and other factors that can make the real cost of
an underlying loan difficult for borrowers to readily decipher. Moreover, without an
accurate measure of cost it can become difficult for consumers to reliably compare
various credit options.
17
Accordingly, most consumer protection laws require lenders to
disclose the Annual Percentage Rate of Interest ("APR") for all types of loans.
18
APR
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14
See e.g. Payday Loans Act, 2008, S.O. 2008, c. 9.
15
Ibid.
16
Susanna Montezemolo, "Payday Abuses and Predatory Practices" (2013) Center for Responsible
Lending, online: CRL <http://www.responsiblelending.com> at 1-3.
17
Stephanie Ben-Ishai, "Regulating Payday Lenders in Canada: Drawing on American Lessons" (2008) 4
CLPE 3 at 28.
18
See e.g. Consumer Protection Act, 2002, S.O. 2002, c. 30, s 61.1(4); Truth in Lending Act 12 CFR s
226.26(b) (2003); Consumer Credit Cost Disclosure 15 USC s 1665a (2000).
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provides a standardized computation of cost that calculates the simple interest rate on an
annual basis, taking into account most fees, in addition to the amount of time a borrower
has to repay a given loan, while also factoring in the reduction in principal as payments
are made over time. In other words, APR provides borrowers with a bottom-line figure
that allows for easy comparison-shopping across potential lenders.
Payday lenders are legally obligated to disclose the relevant APR to their borrowers. The
extent of this disclosure, however, is often limited. Payday lenders frequently obfuscate
their disclosure obligations by discreetly embedding the APR within the fine print of loan
documents, their Internet websites or storefront signage, for instance. Rather than
clearly state the APR to customers, payday lenders typically advertise the cost of loan
products as reflecting a certain amount per $100 borrowed. For instance, lenders might
quote a rate of $21 per $100. However, consumer advocates argue that this often gives
an undiscerning consumer the impression that a simple interest rate of 21 percent applies
to their loan, and thereby reflects his or her true cost of borrowing. In turn, a consumer
might view that option as less expensive than a Credit Card Cash Advance advertising an
interest rate of 22%. If both rates are clearly expressed in terms of APR, which reflects
the simple interest multiplied by the number of times the term goes into one year, then
the real cost is much easier to understand. In particular, the terms would starkly favor the
option of a cash advance at an APR of 22% as compared to the payday loan, which would
carry an APR of 546% (21% times 26 two-week terms). To put the difference in
perspective, consider Carla's experience and assume that she not only takes an initial two-
week payday loan, but also re-opens that payday loan for an additional two weeks. In
terms of dollars, in opting to take out a $300 payday loan to pay for her emergency car
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repair at a rate of $21 per $100 borrowed, the real cost borne is $126, which equals 23
times more than the cash advance carried for one month, the total cost of which is $5.50.
In this sense, if payday lenders obscure the APR on their loans, borrowers lack "the
necessary information to make an informed judgment regarding whether he or she can
repay the loan or whether there is a more affordable option."
19
All told, consumer advocates complain that payday lending "is per se a predatory lending
practice."
20
Predatory lending generally refers to lending practices "that are considered to
be so detrimental to borrowers as to be considered abusive."
21
Put in terms of economics,
predatory lending constitutes a "welfare reducing provision of credit."
22
Payday lenders
make households worse off by deceiving them into borrowing more than is optimal,
which, in turn, "reduces household welfare, and may increase default risk."
23
In
particular, payday lenders "exclusively target vulnerable consumers with low incomes
and insufficient collateral to borrow from a bank."
24
These low-income, cash-strapped
consumers have few mainstream alternatives, such as savings or credit cards, and
consequently "feel that they have nowhere else to go."
25
For instance, a survey recently
conducted in the state of Wisconsin reports that the average annual income of payday
borrowers is roughly $19,000 and that upwards of 80 percent of borrowers do not own a
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19
Center for Responsible Lending, "APR Matters on Payday Loans: Interest rate disclosures allow apple-
to-apple comparisons, protect free market competition" (2009) CRL Issue Brief, online: CRL
<http://www.responsiblelending.org> at 2.
20
Michael A. Stegman, "Payday Lending" (2007) 21 The Journal of Economic Perspectives 1 at 170.
21
Ibid.
22
Donald P. Morgan, "Defining and detecting predatory lending" (2007) Staff Report, Federal Reserve
Bank of New York, No. 273, online: Econstor <http://www.econstor.eu> at 1.
23
Ibid at 6.
24
Bellam and Talai supra note 1 at 9.
25
Ben-Ishai supra note 17 at 5-6.
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home.
26
Moreover, the typical borrower is often worried about how they will "get enough
cash to pay overdue telephone and electric bills" or in Carla's case, an urgent car repair.
27
Critics charge that payday lenders exploit this vulnerability, which is made easier by the
fact that "fringe" borrowers overwhelmingly tend to be less educated than mainstream
borrowers and in many cases are also "first-time borrowers (or are rebounding from a
failed first foray into credit)."
28
In fact, recently uncovered internal memoranda from a
large American payday lender described "minority [groups] with a household income of
less than $25,000, a high school or GED education or less, ages ranging from 18-59 years
and female heads of household with dependents [...] and welfare recipients" as "fertile
markets" for payday lenders.
29
Policymakers have therefore been deluged, in recent years, by “a flurry of critical
proposals” to remedy the alleged problems of the high-cost, short-term credit market.
30
At one end of the spectrum are calls for the outright ban of payday lending practices. The
prohibitory model is anchored in the view that payday-lending services are "predatory,
usurious, and unconscionable" and, on that basis, justifies denying the flow of sub-prime
credit as "in the individual's best interest."
31
However, few jurisdictions have endorsed
this regulatory schema. In Canada, for instance, only the provinces of Quebec and
Newfoundland and Labrador have effectively barred the practice of payday lending. This
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26
Pearl Chin, "Payday Loans: The Case for Federal Legislation" (2004) 3 University of Illinois Law Review
723 at 728.
27
Creola Johnson, "Payday Loans: Shrewd Business or Predatory Lending?" (2002) 87 Minn. L. Rev. 1 at
1.
28
Morgan supra note 20 at 2.
29
Chin supra; Dory Rand, "Using the Community Reinvestment Act to Promote Checking Accounts for
Low-Income People" (1999) 33 Clearinghouse Review Journal of Poverty Law.
30
Francis supra note 1 at 613.
31
Charles A. Bruch, "Taking the Payday Out of Payday Loans: Putting an End to the Usurious and
Unconscionable Interest Rates Charged by Payday Lenders" (2000-2001) 69 U. Cin. L. Rev. 1257 at 1287.
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seems to reflect the view that an unqualified prohibition of payday lending transactions is
an overly blunt regulatory instrument. Notwithstanding a broadly based moral
disapprobation of payday lending practices, sub-prime lenders nevertheless provide low-
income consumers, many of whom have limited access to traditional banks, with
alternative means of credit. Accordingly, Bellam and Talai note, that "shuttering the
industry without first providing a feasible alternative to payday loans is a problematic
solution, as it is likely to leave an entire class of consumers without access to credit."
32
Furthermore, commentators also caution that the wholesale prohibition of the market for
subprime consumer credit may unintentionally push an already "vulnerable group [of
borrowers] to turn to loan sharks and more criminal lenders."
33
According to this view,
therefore, any public policy effort to overcome the market failures borne out of payday
lending must nonetheless ensure that low-income and, in many instances, high-risk
borrowers have sufficient access to credit.
Along these lines, some commentators have proposed ostensibly simpler fixes to "slow
the treadmill [of debt]," including, "placing modest caps on the interest rates that payday
lenders can charge."
34
The push for interest rate regulation of payday lending products is
typically grounded in the view that "the payday lending and other short-term lending
industries are classic failed markets."
35
In a perfect market, "competitive forces will
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32
Bellam and Talai supra note 1 at 1.
33
Ben-Ishai supra note 17 at 6.
34
Los Angeles Times Editorial Board, "Stop Legal Loan Sharks," Los Angeles Times (14 May 2001)
online: Los Angeles Times <http://articles.latimes.com>; Marc Anthony Fusaro and Patricia J. Cirillo, "Do
Payday Loans Trap Consumers in a Cycle of Debt?" (2011) SSRN Working Paper 1960776, online: SSRN
<http://www.ssrn.com>.
35
Nathalie Martin, "1,000% Interest - Good While Supplies Last: A Study of Payday Loan Practices and
Solutions" (2010) 52 Arizona Law Review 3 at 607.
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eliminate excessive profits."
36
Consider two banks located at the same busy intersection.
In an effort to attract consumers, these banks both advertise their respective mortgage
rates in their storefront windows for the public to see. This ensures that neither bank "can
obtain excessive profits, since the consumers are fully informed" of the banks' prices.
37
Moreover, competition (or antitrust) law prohibits the banks from colluding with one
another to set high mortgage prices. Under these circumstances, to remain competitive,
the banks "must set prices as low as possible so that they do not lose business to the
neighboring [bank], but high enough so that they earn a fair profit" for providing
mortgages.
38
As a result, consumers who borrow from either bank obtain their mortgage
at an equilibrium rate, namely, the price where supply intersects with demand, "and
where neither [bank] is reaping an excessive profit."
39
In an imperfect market, however, prices do not adjust in lockstep with competition. In
the payday lending market, for instance, reformers contend that competitive market
forces have not succeeded in bringing the cost of payday loans down to equilibrium
prices. Rather, lenders tend to levy "the exact same thing for a loan, typically the largest
amount allowed by law."
40
This is made easier by the fact that payday customers tend
not to be financially savvy, such that they typically do not understand the cost of their
loans and, as a result, are unlikely to comparison shop. Moreover, recent studies suggest
that payday borrowers are driven primarily by convenience when choosing a lender.
41
Because competitive market pressures do not condition lending behaviour, payday
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36
Aaron Huckstep, "Payday Lending: Do Outrageous Prices Necessarily Mean Outrageous Prices" (2007)
12 Fordham Journal of Corporate & Financial Law 1 at 212.
37
Ibid.
38
Ibid.
39
Ibid.
40
Martin supra note 35 at 607.
41
Ibid.
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lenders are able to charge more than they otherwise could in a perfectly competitive
market and, by extension, are able to earn allegedly excessive profits. In charging
interest above the market rate, "large numbers of people, usually those who can least
afford it, are getting trapped in the humiliating and costly cycle of recurrent debt
associated with payday loans."
42
Proponents of reform contend that an absolute interest
rate cap can offset this problem. While regulatory intervention may be inappropriate
when market forces are working properly, "failed markets create a need for regulation."
43
According to this view, the current payday lending market warrants stricter interest rate
regulation, because it appears as though market forces have not driven down prices.
Moreover, the only factor seemingly limiting existing rates is the maximum amount
allowable under the law. Accordingly, proponents of payday lending reform argue that
policymakers should respond to this market failure by lowering existing usury rates in an
effort to drive prices down closer to equilibrium, albeit artificially.
It is important to note, however, that enacting new rate ceilings will not necessarily
achieve a better result. Market forces do not automatically condition the price levels that
regulators deem appropriate. Because legislators rarely make economic decisions with
complete information, statutory price caps can in some ways be quite arbitrary. More
importantly, in some cases, imperfect knowledge may result in a legislated rate ceiling
considerably below that which would operate in an unregulated market.
44
In turn, Cayne
and Trebilcock note that "ceilings set below the levels necessary to sustain the efficient
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42
Martin supra note 35 at 607.
43
Ibid.
44
David Cayne and Michael J. Trebilcock, "Market Considerations in the Formulation of Consumer
Protection Policy" (1973) 23 University of Toronto Law Journal 396 at 416.
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lender will eliminate lender credit from the market place."
45
For instance, Bertrand and
Morse note that the Military Lending Act that recently took effect in the United States and
imposes a federal usury cap of 36% APR for payday loans issued to military personnel
and their family, as well as a law enacted in the state of Ohio that limits APRs on payday
lending to 28%, do not provide sufficient margins for payday lenders to cover the cost of
borrower default.
46
As a result, the authors suggest that effectively "these legislations
eliminate payday lending" for certain demographics.
47
These drastic legislative measures,
however, appear to disregard conditions that are central to the relationship between
demand and supply for consumer credit. In particular, demand for subprime credit
appears significantly less elastic than its supply, "that is, the imperatives inducing a
person to borrow at high rates are more powerful than the forces which impel a person to
lend at these rates."
48
Accordingly Cayne and Trebilcock note "that very serious
exclusionary consequences for borrowers would result from the collective withdrawal of
lenders from a regulated market place in which they find it uneconomic to operate."
49
Given the inelasticity that typifies low-income consumers’ demand for credit, loan sharks
and other criminal lenders are likely to take advantage of "rate ceilings which eliminate
the efficient lender."
50
By way of example, the authors cite the passage of the Russell
Sage Foundation's Uniform Small Loans Law in the United States, first enacted in 1907,
which responded to concerns that existing usury rates, statutorily enforced throughout the
country, had "prevented legitimate lenders from transacting business with high-risk
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
45
Cayne and Trebilcock supra.note 44 at 414.
46
Marianne Bertrand and Adair Morse, "Information Disclosure, Cognitive Biases and Payday Borrowing"
(2011) 66 Journal of Finance 6 at 1865.
47
Ibid.
48
Cayne and Trebilcock supra.
49
Ibid.
50
Ibid at 415.
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borrowers, with the result that these borrowers began to rely upon illegal lenders to
service their needs."
51
Moreover, a robust enforcement regime is required for stricter usury limits to have their
intended effect. However, efforts to actively enforce statutory interest rate restrictions
are not always successful. The Canadian experience, for instance, serves as a cautionary
tale. I will address the nuances of the regulatory schema governing the provision of
consumer credit throughout Canada, in greater detail, later in this paper. For the present
purposes, however, it is worthwhile noting that while s 347 of the Criminal Code
prohibits lending agreements that set the payment of interest at a criminal rate, defined as
anything higher than a 60 percent APR, the provision has never been used to prosecute
payday lenders who levy interest charges in excess of the prescribed rate.
52
Not
surprisingly therefore, payday lenders throughout Canada levy interest rate charges in
excess of the federal usury limit.
53
For instance, payday lending rates in Nova Scotia
routinely exceed 900% APR, while interest charges running 700% APR are equally
common in British Columbia.
54
This is particularly problematic because it leaves
borrowers with "the dangerous illusion that there is in fact a federal ceiling on interest
rates" when, in fact, "the reality is that the federal usury cap in s 347 of the Criminal
Code provides little in the way of consumer protection."
55
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51
Cayne and Trebilcock supra.note 44 at 415; see also Bruce G. Carruthers et al., "Bringing Honest Capital
to Poor Borrowers: The Passage of the Uniform Small Loan law, 1907-1930" (2009) Yale University
Economic Growth Center Discussion Paper No. 971, online: Yale University <http://www.econ.yale.edu>.
52
Criminal Code R.S.C. 1985, c C-46 s. 347(1) [Criminal Code].
53
Bellam and Talai supra note 1 at 1.
54
Ibid at 6-7.
55
Ibid at 14.
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Another commonly advocated approach to regulation of the payday lending industry
involves improving existing mandated disclosure regimes. Disclosure is the linchpin of
consumer protection regulation. Accordingly, most consumer protection regimes impose
a "uniform interest-rate disclosure obligation on payday lenders."
56
As noted above,
however, payday lenders frequently obscure the full extent of a borrower's interest rate
obligation by directing their attention towards the cost per $100 borrowed, rather than
more instructive characteristics, such as the annual percentage rate. Moreover, Mann and
Hawkins note that current disclosure schemes are "also problematic because consumers
often get the information too late in the process for it to be useful."
57
Most disclosure
regimes are limited to requiring the lender to provide the borrower with mandated
information, such as the APR, at some point before the contract is signed. As a result,
lenders often only disclose this information just before the parties culminate the lending
agreement, thereby leaving the borrower with no practical opportunity to comparison-
shop.
58
Furthermore, Mann and Hawkins also note that there exists a "substantial
problem of noncompliance."
59
Recent studies suggest that payday lenders
overwhelmingly neglect to comply with mandated interest rate disclosure requirements or
routinely disclose them inaccurately.
60
Until relatively recently, payday lending was a distinctly American phenomenon. The
payday loan industry, at least in its current "storefront" incarnation, began operating in
the United States in the early 1980s. The industry has since then experienced meteoric
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
56
Mann and Hawkins supra note 1 at 903; See e.g. Manitoba Consumer Protection Act, R.S., ch. C200, s
4(3)(1987); Truth in Lending Act 15 U.S.C. ss 1601-1693 (2000); Uniform Consumer Credit Code, 2001, ss
14-15 and s 143 (Austrl.).
57
Mann and Hawkins supra at 904.
58
Ibid at 904.
59
Ibid.
60
Ibid at 904-905; Ben-Ishai supra note 17.
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15!
growth ballooning from virtually no payday lending stores to more than 25,000
establishments, that is more locations than McDonalds, Wal-Mart, Starbucks and Home
Depot combined.
61
But payday lending is a relatively new phenomenon in Canada. It
emerged in much in the same way as it did in the United States, namely, as a fast-
growing offshoot of the check-cashing industry that developed "on a large scale when
checking accounts had proliferated into the bottom half of the income scale."
62
However,
the industry only claimed its foothold in Canada's fringe lending market during the past
decade. As of 2009, various payday-lending firms now comprise approximately 1,500
storefronts, spread across the country, that collectively generate estimated annual profits
in excess of $1 billion.
63
As a result, Canada’s regulatory experience with payday lending is a relatively fledgling
enterprise. Moreover, in recent years, it has also undergone a number of dramatic
reforms. This shift was essentially a response to popular conceptions of payday lending
practices as predatory. In other words, existing regulations did not sufficiently curtail the
market failures of payday lending and, in turn, vulnerable consumers were regularly co-
opted into improvident borrowing arrangements. The country’s new regulatory approach,
perhaps somewhat predictably, endorses many of the reforms commonly advocated by
proponents of payday lending reform. In turn, the regulatory landscape is made up of a
patchwork of outright bans and interest rate caps as well as mandated disclosure
obligations. Earlier in this introduction, I outlined some of the pitfalls various
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
61
Paige Marta Skiba and Jeremy Tobacman, "Do Payday Loans Cause Bankruptcy?" (2009) Vanderbilt
Law and Economics Research Paper No 11-13, online: SSRN <http://ssrn.com> at 1.
62
Robert Mayer, "Loan Shark, Interest-Rate Caps, and Deregulation" (2012) 69 Wash. & Lee L. Rev. 807 at
836.
63
Olena Kobzar, “Perils of Governance through Networks: The Case of Regulating Payday Lending in
Canada” (2012) 34 Law & Policy 1 at 37; Bellam and Talai supra note 1 at 5; Kitching an Starky supra
note 13; Ben-Ishai supra note 17 at 1.
!
!
16!
commentators have associated with typical regulatory efforts to correct the market
failures of the payday-loan industry. The common theme underlying these criticisms
seems to be a sense that, on the one hand, these regulatory interventions are too intrusive;
outright bans and interest rate caps, for instance, impede the flow of institutional credit to
low-income consumers, thereby pushing them to criminal lenders. On the other hand,
disclosure regimes do too little, that is, they are a weak proxy for consumer protection;
they tend not only to be easy to avoid, but borrowers also often do not have the requisite
financial savvy to comprehend them.
The following discussion suggests that Canada’s regulatory project, much like similar
efforts elsewhere in the world, may not achieve its desired results, less as a consequence
of regulatory over or under reach and more as a result of the economic narrative that
informs it. Neoclassical economics has been the dominant policy paradigm for
developments in regulated industries for more than four decades. It is built on a strong
assumption that all economic agents are fully rational and thereby make consumer
decisions accordingly. This conceptual framework and analytical tool has, therefore,
figured prominently in the design of consumer protection regulation. However, this
approach to economic policymaking has increasingly been called into doubt by an
emerging trend in legal academia, namely, the intersection between law and behavioral
economics. Behavioral economics is rooted in the view that “real people exhibit
cognitive biases that create systematic departures from the assumption of unbounded
rationality.”
64
Proponents of this new analytical approach argue that policy grounded in
this worldview is “based on a richer model of individual behavior than the rational actor
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
64
Francis supra note 1 at 614.
!
!
17!
model underlying mainstream economic analysis.”
65
Law and behavioral economic
scholars consequently argue that this insight “must be incorporated to generate sound
predictions and legal policy.”
66
Behavioral economics “has attracted widespread
attention for its possible relevance particularly to consumer protection regulation.”
67
As
Francis notes, however, very little academic attention has been paid to the “possibility of
using behavioral law and economics in analyzing the payday-loan industry.”
68
Even less
thought appears to have been given to the application of this new analytical paradigm to
payday lending reform in Canada. Accordingly, the following discussion evaluates
existing and proposed regulatory frameworks for Canada’s payday lending industry
through the lens of behavioral law and economics.
The balance of this paper is divided into five parts. Part two provides an overview of the
history of payday lending regulation across Canada. Part three provides a basic primer
on behavioral economic analysis of the law and juxtaposes this framework against the
neo-classical economic model. Part four sets out the pitfalls of Canada’s current
regulatory model. In particular, this section highlights its inability to sufficiently account
for the cognitive biases that condition borrowing behavior, both among low-income
demographic segments as well as across the broader population of consumers. Part five
draws on the application of behavioral law and economics to other policy domains in an
effort to present some potential solutions for improving the effectiveness of Canada’s
regulation of payday lending practices. Part six is the conclusion.
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
65
Michael A. Salinger, “A Symposium on Antitrust & Behavioral Economics: Behavioral Economics,
Consumer Protection, and Antitrust” (2010) 6 Competition Pol’y Int’l 65 at 65.
66
Francis supra note 1 at 614.
67
Salinger supra.
68
Francis supra.
!
!
18!
Chapter 2
The History of Payday Lending Regulation in Canada
The regulation of payday lending practices in Canada constitutes a decidedly confused
experiment in consumer protection. From a historical standpoint, payday lenders are "an
industry relatively insulated from regulation either at the federal or provincial level."
69
The payday lending industry stormed Canada's financial services market in the early
1990s. Between then and 2007, the chief federal legislation governing their lending
practices was s 347 of the Criminal Code. The provision treats receiving a payment of
interest in excess of 60 percent per annum as an indictable criminal offence subject to a
term of incarceration of not more than five years.
70
Payday loans are "almost always in
violation of the Criminal Code interest limits."
71
However, while a limited few lower
court decisions have struck down payday loans for contravening s 347, "rarely (if ever)
have such 'respectable' usurers been prosecuted."
72
In large part, this reflects the original
purpose of the provision, which in adding s. 347 to the Criminal Code in 1980, the
federal government declared was "to give police forces across Canada a prosecutorial
handle with which to fight loan sharking," rather than buttress consumer protection
policy.
73
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
69
Kobzar supra note 63 at 127.
70
Criminal Code, supra note 50.
71
Mary Anne Waldron, "What is to be done with Section 347?" (2003) 38 Can. Bus. L.J. 367 at 368.
72
Iain Ramsay, "Of Payday Loans and Usury: Further Thoughts" (20030 38 Can. Bus. L.J. 386 at 386;
Waldron supra.
73
Jacob Ziegel, "Does Section 347 Deserve a Second Chance? A Comment" (2003) 38 Can. Bus. L.J. 394
at 395.
!
!
19!
Payday lenders are known to charge rates that often exceed the interest reportedly
collected by illegal loan sharks.
74
It appears, however, that charging exorbitant interest
rates is not sufficient to trigger scrutiny under s 347. Rather, Parliamentary hearings on
Bill C-44, which culminated in the adoption of the criminal rate of interest, seem to imply
that the prosecutorial ambit underlying s 347 is limited to lenders that not only charge
excessive interest rates, but also "operat[e] surreptitiously [...] and us[e] or threaten[] to
use violent collection methods if the borrower default[s]."
75
That being said, the anti-
usury law contained in s. 347 does not expressly encompass this qualification. For this
reason, in Garland v. Consumers' Gas Co., the Supreme Court of Canada opined "that s.
347 is a deeply problematic law" insofar as "some of its terms are most comfortably
understood in the narrow context of street-level sharking, while others compel a much
broader application," such as to consumer and commercial transactions.
76
Accordingly,
in its holding, the Court effectively urged Parliament to take the required remedial action
to clarify the underlying premise for the provision.
77
The Supreme Court decision in Garland added to mounting public pressure to improve
the regulatory scheme governing the rapidly growing payday lending industry. In turn,
Parliament addressed the question of how to effectively regulate payday-lending practices
by passing Bill C-26, which came into force after receiving Royal Assent in the spring
2007. Rather than reframe the language of s 347 in such a way that it could readily invite
prosecutorial scrutiny of payday lenders charging in excess of the proscribed interest rate
ceiling, "Bill C-26 contemplated a quite different solution to the problem of their reputed
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
74
Chin supra note 26 at 729; Bellam and Talai supra note 1 at 8.
75
Ziegel supra note 72 at 395.
76
[1998] 3 SCR 112 at 52.
77
Ibid.
!
!
20!
excessive charges."
78
Under the new regulatory framework, the federal government
retained a 60 percent interest rate cap as the country's designated usury limit. The new
scheme did, however, change the regulatory landscape in a number of important respects.
Firstly, the Bill statutorily defined payday loans as "an advancement of money in
exchange for a post-dated cheque, a preauthorized debit or a future payment of a similar
nature but not for any guarantee, suretyship, overdraft protection or security and not
through a margin loan, pawnbroking, a line of credit of a credit card."
79
Secondly, the
new legislative framework allowed "for provincial regulation of the area, if the province
exercises its option to regulate under the new s. 347.1(3)."
80
More specifically, under s.
347.1(3), provinces can opt into a federally-defined regulatory scheme, which gives
consenting provinces the authority to act as industry regulators provided they implement
"a licensing or other type of authorization system for lenders, the establishment of limits
on the total cost of borrowing, and a framework of protections for consumers."
81
The
basic components generally include: (a) interest rate caps; (b) cancellation protection; (c)
mandated disclosure; (d) rollover prohibitions; (e) licensing; and, (f) consumer
remedies.
82
Where provinces are designated as having satisfactorily assumed this
regulatory burden, Bill C-46 specifically exempts payday loans under $1500 and for less
than 62 days from scrutiny under the Criminal Code, provided the issuing lender is
licensed under the applicable statutory regime of their host province. Since the Criminal
Code was amended to allow Provinces to regulate the payday loan industry, every
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
78
Kobzar supra note 63 at 34.
79
Criminal Code supra note 50 at s 347.1(2) and (3).
80
Ben-Ishai supra note 17 at 11.
81
!Ibid!at!12.!
82
Ibid at 12-13.
!
!
21!
province and territory, other than Quebec and Newfoundland
83
, have opted in to the new
regulatory scheme and adopted the requisite enabling legislation to set up their own
regulatory regimes.
84
As mentioned, Bill C-26 effectively delegates jurisdictional responsibility for payday
loans to the provinces. While the amendment requires consenting provinces to commit to
certain regulatory thresholds, namely, consumer protection legislation that includes limits
on the overall cost of borrowing, it nonetheless leaves the provinces with significant
legislative discretion in how they do this. As a result, despite the fact that most
provinces share similar legislative frameworks, the extent and scope of their respective
regulations often differ widely from one another. For instance, all provincial regimes
prohibit straightforward loan rollovers. The extent of this restriction, however, has
historically varied between jurisdictions. Ontario first enacted provincial legislation
dealing specifically with the provision of payday loans in 2008. Prior to enacting the
Payday Loans Act, 2008, payday lenders operating in Ontario were regulated primarily
under existing provincial consumer protection legislation, which incidentally prohibited
rollover loans. However, lenders could easily skirt the rollover prohibition by issuing
back-to-back or concurrent loans. While back-to-back loans did not technically qualify
as rollovers, they nonetheless engendered similar sequela, namely, over-indebtedness
resulting from ballooning interest charges that left the principal untouched.
85
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
83
Both provinces effectively prohibit the provision of payday loans outright, albeit in different ways. For
instance, Quebec statutorily limits interest on all loans to 30% APR, while Newfoundland has opted not
legislate on the matter, thereby leaving the federal usury cap of 60% APR in place. Because payday
lenders ostensibly cannot operate with these interest rate limitations in place, payday loans are de facto
illegal in both provinces.
84
Kobzar supra note 63 at 34-35.
85
Ben-Ishai supra note 17 at 28.
!
!
22!
As another illustration, most provincial regimes cap the cost of borrowing. In Ontario,
for instance, provincial law caps the cost of borrowing at 21 dollars per 100 dollars
advanced.
86
However, the governing legislation does not expressly bar additional fees
from being applied to the loan.
87
As a result, payday loan companies commonly issue
loans through a debit card, which borrowers can only access once an activation fee is
paid.
88
In turn, when this fee is pooled with the interest charges already accruing to the
borrower, "the resulting APR easily exceed both the federal and advertised provincial
usury caps."
89
More importantly, under the current regime of federally sponsored provincial regulation,
all participating jurisdictions allow for annual percentage rates far in excess of the federal
usury limit. Under the current regulatory framework, legislation prescribes the maximum
allowable interest rate that lenders can charge borrowers on a 12-day loan cycle.
However, when these simple interest rates are calculated in terms of APR, the resulting
percentages skyrocket past the federal usury limit. For instance, Nova Scotia permits a
simple interest rate of 25 percent, which translates to 760 percent APR
90
; British
Columbia permits 23 percent or 700 percent APR
91
; Alberta permits 23 percent or 700
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
86
Payday Loans Act, 2008, SO 2008, c 9, s 23.
87
Bellam and Talai supra note 1 at 7.
88
"Payday lenders skirt loan charge limits" CBC News (14 June 2011), online: <http://www.cbc.ca>.
89
Ibid; Bellam and Talai supra.
90
In the Matter of the Consumer Protection Act, 2011 NSUARB 22 (Nova Scotia Utility and Review
Board) at 114.
91
BC Reg 57/2009, s. 14.
!
!
23!
percent APR
92
; Manitoba permits 17 percent interest or 517 percent APR
93
; and
Saskatchewan permits 23 percent interest or 700 percent APR.
94
At first glance, these simple interest rates appear substantially lower than the federal
usury limit and, in a sense, they also accurately reflect the borrowing costs associated
with a standard two-week payday loan. However, a rate ceiling predicated on a 12-day
loan cycle tends to disregard the circumstances of the average payday loan consumer. As
mentioned earlier, an overwhelming majority of these consumers are repeat borrowers.
According to some estimates, "for every loan to a new customer, payday lenders make 15
loans to repeat customers on average across the country."
95
A recent consumer survey
conducted in Toronto by the Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now
(ACORN) indicated that nearly half of all payday loan borrowers take out six or more
payday loans a year.
96
To put these consumer habits in perspective, another study found
that if a Toronto-based borrower "pursued back-to-back loans for one year (26 loans) on
a principal amount of $300 [they] would pay roughly $60 in interest every two weeks [...]
over $1,560 in interest (520% APR) for a $300 loan."
97
Altogether, attempts to limit the
cost of borrowing through caps grounded in a simple rate of interest allow lenders to
significantly distort the real costs borne by most borrowers.
The devolution of authority over the payday loan industry has, therefore, received
repeated criticism both among academic policy analysts and consumer watchdogs. In
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
92
Alta Reg 157/2009, s. 7.
93
The Consumer Protection Act, CCSM, c C200, s 151.1(1); Man Reg 50/2010 s 2.2(1)-(2).
94
An Act respective Payday Loan Agreements, Payday Lenders and Borrowers, 2007, c P-4.3, s. 23 (1);
Sask Reg RRS P-4.3 Reg 1, s. 14(1).
95
Ontario Ministry of Consumer Services "Capping Borrowing Costs: A Balanced Approach to Payday
Loans in Ontario" (2009), online: <http://www.sse.gov.on.ca> at 9.
96
Ibid.
97
Ben-Ishai supra note 17 at 28.
!
!
24!
particular, commentators note that ceding control over payday loan companies to the
provinces has resulted in "a hodgepodge of regulations with no overarching national
standards."
98
Along similar lines, critics also point out that Parliament promulgated the
federal-to-provincial shift in jurisdictional responsibility over the payday lending industry
as a way to incentivize better enforcement on the part of provincial officials who until
that point had not adequately enforced the existing federal usury law. Under the old
regime, the federal government argued that it had not been able to proceed with criminal
charges against payday lenders for otherwise blatant contraventions of the federal usury
prohibition, because "s. 347 of the Criminal Code is unusual in that it requires the
consent of the provincial Attorney-General in order to prosecute an offence under it."
99
Provincial officials apparently refused to grant this authority under the guise that
prosecutions would "drive away payday loan companies, leaving consumers to the mercy
of loan sharks."
100
Accordingly, Parliament opted to shift the burden to the provinces by
putting the regulatory ball in their courts. However, Kobzar argues that the provinces'
historical reluctance to sign off on prosecutions notwithstanding blatant violations of the
federal usury limit "should inspire little confidence in any provincially-devised and
enforced regulatory scheme for payday loans."
101
Accordingly, proponents of reforming Canada's current regulatory framework governing
the provision of payday loans argue that the federal-provincial devolution of authority
should be replaced with an overarching federal scheme grounded in a fixed usury rate
ceiling coupled with uniform disclosure requirements. Provincial regulation currently
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
98
Kobzar supra note 63 at 35.
99
Ibid at 40.
100
Ibid.
101
Ibid at 35.
!
!
25!
"requires disclosure in the form of posted warnings and information in agreements about
the cost of credit and the high cost of the loans."
102
The current framework for disclosure
requires that lenders disclose the cost of a loan in terms of a dollar amount, for example,
$25 for $100 borrowed for one week, totaling $125 for one week. The provinces also
require lenders to post both the total cost "clearly at the front of the store or on the
counter in a similar fashion to the way that banks post the daily exchange rate" as well as
a notice that the loans are intended to be short-term.
103
According to Ben-Ishai, however,
the key is not whether disclosure made in terms of dollar cost per $100 borrowed or
articulated as an annual percentage rate more accurately conveys the total cost of
borrowing, but rather whether the way this information is provided is easy for the
borrower to understand and compare among different lenders. In the absence of a
mandated uniform disclosure template, however, payday lenders can provide this
information in ways that satisfy their statutory disclosure burden without easing the
asymmetries of information that challenge the consumer’s ability to make informed
borrowing decisions.
104
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
102
Ben-Ishai supra note 17 at 29.
103
Ibid.
104
!It!is!wo rthwhile!noting!that!the!regulation!of!payday!lending!in!Ca na da !is!roughly!the!sam e!as!in!
comparable! jurisdictions.! ! For! instance,! Australia’s! new! regulatory! regime! adopts! similar!
intervent ion s .! ! The! key! fea tu re s! of! the! Consumer!Credit!Legislation!Amendment!(Enhancements)!Act!
2012! include! an! interest! rate! ceiling,! various! limitation s ! on! ancillary! fees! and! other! charges,!
restrictions! on! rollovers! and! on! borrowers! entering! into! m ultiple! loans.! Along! sim ilar! lines,! the!
United!Kingdom!recently!announced!new! payday! lending!regulations,!which! include!caps!on!the!cost!
of! payday! loans,! limits! on! rollovers,! an d ! a! req u ir e ment! t h a t! lender s ! undert a k e ! afforda b il ity!
assessments! before! issuing! loans! as! w ell! as! a! rule! that! advertisements! for! payday! loans! include!
warnings!that!alert!prospective!borrowers!about!the!potential!financial!risks!associated!with!payday!
loans.!! W hile! each!country!approaches! the!regulation!of! payday!loans!somew hat! differently!from!one!
another,! they! nonetheless! all! involve! “intervening! in! the! market! for! payday! loans!to! prescribe! the!
terms! o n!which!those!loans!can!be! m ad e!available!to!borrower s.”!! Mo re!specifically,!they !tend! to!rest!
on!some!combination!of!interest!rate!caps,!limitations!on!repeat!borrowing,!and!mandated!disclosure!
requirements.! See! Paul! Ali,! Cosima! McRae! and! Ian! Ramsay,! “Payday! Lending! Regulation! and!
Borrower!Vulnerability!in!the!United!Kingdom !and!A ustra lia!(Forthco m ing!20 14 ).!
!
!
26!
More importantly, as the rest of this paper sets out, the “potential of disclosure as a
regulatory tool” may itself be a flawed exercise in consumer protection insofar as
research on bounded rationality increasingly suggests, “that consumers do not always act
in the rational way that underlies the rationale for disclosure."
105
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
105
Ben-Ishai supra note 17 at 29.
!
!
27!
Chapter 3
Behavioral Economics, Bounded Rationality and the
Consumer
To recap, the regulatory framework outlined above aims to correct the failures of the
market for delivery of high-interest emergency loans. More specifically, competitive
forces have not sufficiently conditioned the relationship between supply and demand,
such that the cost of borrowing remains considerably higher than it otherwise would in a
more perfect market. Demand for credit is also markedly inelastic. These conditions join
together to create a perfect storm for low-income borrowers.
Mainstream banks tend to view the low-income borrowing segment as a high credit risk.
Many of these borrowers have impaired credit histories or insufficient assets to
collateralize their borrowing habits. As a result, mainstream banks have strategically
"segment[ed] the financial services market such that low-income people face sub-prime
lenders and fringe banks while middle and upper-income people face mainstream bank
financial services supply."
106
The market's segmentation constrains consumer choice for
low-income borrowers by restricting their access to mainstream sources of credit, such as
credit cards and lines of credit. This leaves them in a precarious position. Industry
regulators closely monitor the behavior of mainstream banks, whereas they pay
comparatively little attention to fringe financial institutions.
107
Because low-income
borrowers cannot easily meet their spontaneous needs for credit within the protective
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
106
Jerry Buckland et al., "Serving or Exploiting People Facing a Short-term Credit Crunch? A Study of
Consumer Aspects of Payday Lending in Manitoba" (2007) Report for the November 2007 Public Utilities
Board Hearing to Cap Payday Loan Fees at 17.
107
Ibid at 21.
!
!
28!
confines of mainstream financial service institutions, they must gravitate to whoever is
willing to lend to them, whether or not that lender is subject to regulatory scrutiny. This
makes low-income borrowers an essentially captive audience for predatory lenders.
Payday lenders take advantage of these conditions, for example, by marketing their loans
as short-term emergency sources of credit while packaging them in such a way that
borrowers seeking a ‘quick fix’ find themselves mired in a cycle of debt that inevitably
leads to greater financial distress than would otherwise have been the case had they opted
against the loan.
Regulatory efforts to correct this market failure are more often than not grounded in neo-
classical economic theory. Viewed through this analytical lens all consumers of payday
lending services are targets for industry exploitation, not because of some comparative
socio-economic disadvantage, but more as a consequence of certain imperfections that
burden the market for fringe lending products. The most important consequence of these
market imperfections is that payday borrowers pay too much for the product.
108
Neo-classical economic theory contends "that people make rational decisions to
maximize their 'satisfaction' including decisions about what type, and what size of credit
to use."
109
As rational economic actors, consumers will only use payday loan products if
it is consistent with their personal or household goals. However, the market's
imperfections create structural barriers to this exercise. Payday lenders routinely conceal
the real cost of their products, which ensures they have better information than
prospective borrowers. This creates an imbalance of bargaining power that significantly
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
108
Buckland et al., supra note 105 at 17.
109
Ibid at 20.
!
!
29!
disadvantages the borrower. In particular, this asymmetry of information invariably
hinders his or her ability to make an informed decision regarding the loan. It induces
prospective borrowers into thinking they are paying less than they are for payday loans.
Because borrowers are misinformed about the real cost of these loans, they have no
discernable way to anticipate whether carrying these liabilities is likely to push them into
a debt cycle. If the lender had accurately conveyed all the relevant information with
which to make a decision, borrowers would avoid loans with unfavorable terms and
conditions, particularly those that give rise to potentially prohibitive costs. In other
words, this theory contends that information asymmetries explain the anomalous
borrowing habits that alarm policymakers.
Neo-classical economics argues that government intervention in consumer contracts is
generally unwarranted. This anti-regulation presumption is set aside, however, when
consumer misperception distorts the free market, for example, when it results in the
adverse selection of loan products. Under these circumstances, neo-classical economics
believes that “disclosure mandates should be one of the main regulatory responses to the
problem of consumer misperception.”
110
In particular, disclosure mandates “target
imperfect information and misperception with respect to product attributes.”
111
In order to tackle the adverse selection of payday loan products, therefore, regulators
should ensure that borrowers have a complete picture of their real cost. Hence,
mandating disclosure requirements obliging lenders to both accurately as well as
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
110
Oren Bar-Gill and Richard A. Epstein, “Consumer Contracts: Behavioral Economics vs. Neoclassical
Economics” (2007) NYU Center for Law & Economics Research Paper Series, Working Paper No. 07-17
at 4.
111
Ibid.
!
!
30!
conspicuously disclose this information should suffice in correcting the welfare costs
commonly associated with payday lending products. Symmetry of information would
force lenders to charge only a competitive market price, which is the maximum amount
borrowers would be willing to pay taking into account what the lender requires to sustain
a profitable business. In other words, perfect information is the solution to the ills of
payday lending.
The Canadian experience, however, suggests that disclosure is not a sufficient proxy for a
perfect market. Rather, it appears to confirm the insights into consumer credit decision-
making provided by behavioral law and economics. Behavioral science argues that real
people are boundedly rational. In contradistinction to the rational actor model that
underpins neoclassical expectations of human economic behavior, the work of Tversky
and Kahneman, for example, demonstrates that cognitive biases habitually motivate
human judgment and choice.
112
This cognitive predisposition means that actual
judgments often systematically depart from "unbiased forecasts" and resulting decisions
thereby tend to differ from those anticipated by neoclassical theory.
113
In this sense,
behavioral science arguably sketches "a more realistic conception of human behavior."
114
It also implies that the standard assumptions of traditional law and economics are
sometimes false. Accordingly, behavioral law and economics applies "traditional
economic tools, enhanced by a better understanding of human behavior" in a
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
112
See Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman “Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases” (1974)
185 Science 4157.
113
Christine Jolls et al. "Behavioral Approach to Law and Economics” (1998) 50 Stanford Law Review
1471 at 1477.
114
Ibid at 1545.
!
!
31!
corresponding effort to "offer[] a host of novel prescriptions regarding how to make the
legal system work better."
115
The development of behavioral economic analysis of law equips academic policy
analysts with better analytical tools for prescribing public policy. In particular, it
provides a compelling alternative to the prevailing approach to economic policy analysis,
namely neo-classical economic theory, which many examples of existing regulated
activity demonstrate, often fails to produce sound policy prescriptions. For example,
traditional economic reasoning views punitive damages favorably, because they are a
private alternative to public regulatory intervention. The purpose of punitive damages is
to supplement compensatory awards that provide insufficient deterrence of socially
undesirable private behavior.
116
However, neo-classical economic theory also
recommends that punitive damages should be awarded only if "an injurer has a
significant chance of escaping liability for the harm he caused."
117
In other words, the
utility of punitive damages lies in the fact that while some “injured parties do not detect
and seek compensation for all injuries,” society nevertheless has an interest in deterring
the behavior that caused those harms. Therefore, in order for punitive damage awards to
succeed in reaching optimal deterrence, courts should instruct juries to "estimate the
likelihood that the defendant might have escaped having to pay for the harm for which he
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
115
Jolls et al. supra note 113 at 1546 and 1547.
116
Cass R. Sunstein et al., “Assessing Punitive Damages (with Notes on Cognition and Valuation in Law)
(1998) 107 Yale L.J. 2071 at 4.
117
A. Mitchell Polinsky and Steven Shavell, "Punitive Damages: An Economic Analysis" (1997-1998) 111
Harvard Law Review 872 at 870.
!
!
32!
or she should be responsible" and award punitive damages that reflect the probability of
non-detection.
118
Sunstein et al. note, however that "psychological work on punishment has suggested that
when thinking about punishment, people's ideas diverge from what would be expected
from an optimal deterrence approach."
119
For instance, real people have difficulty
mapping the probability of non-detection onto an unbounded scale of dollars.
120
Moreover, a juror’s sense of moral outrage over a given tortfeasor’s actions often
disproportionately informs their calculation of punitive damages. In turn, these
behavioral tendencies often produce arbitrary and erratic judgments that undermine the
neo-classical economic basis for punitive damages. Accordingly, Sunstein et al. note that
“if the basic problem is that people’s moral judgments are not the proper basis for
punitive awards,” but jurors lack sufficient behavioral constraint to set aside their moral
outrage when rendering awards, then perhaps an expert administrative body would
provide the requisite rationality, even if it is a bureaucratic alternative.
121
Punitive damages are but one example of existing public policy that might benefit from a
more robust appreciation of the bounds of rational human decision-making. Behavioral
insights are also regularly applied to the study of optimal law enforcement,
122
anti-trust
law,
123
tax reform
124
, and so on. While a rich body of academic literature on behavioral
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
118
Polinsky and Shavell supra note 117 at 957.
119
Cass R. Sunstein et al., Punitive Damages: How Juries Decide (Chicago: University of Chicago Press,
2002) at 134.
120
Sunstein et al. supra note 116 at 4.
121
Ibid at 10.
122
See generally Nuno Garoupa, “Behavioral Economic Analysis of Crime: A Critical Review” (2003) 15
European Journal of Law and Economics 5.
123
See generally William E. Kovacic, “Behavioral Economics and Its Meaning for Antitrust Agency
Decision Making” (2012) 8 J.L. Econ. & Pol’y 779.
!
!
33!
economic analysis of law has developed, only recently has it made a foray into consumer
credit regulation.
In Seduction by Contract, Oren Bar-Gill, an expert on the law and economics of contracts
and contracting, argues that consumer contracts are a function of the interaction between
market forces and behavioral psychology.
125
The author argues that consumers are
imperfectly rational, namely, their decisions tend to be partially motivated by bias and
misperception.
126
In particular, consumers are psychologically predisposed to
shortsightedness and over-optimism. These cognitive biases instinctively draw
consumers to products and services that offer short-term benefits, notwithstanding their
potential long-term costs. These mistakes are also systematic and predictable, which
further motivates sellers to actively engage with them. More specifically, sellers design
their “products, contracts and pricing schemes to maximize not the true (net) benefit from
their product, but the (net) benefit as perceived by the imperfectly rational consumer.”
127
In other words, sellers conceal the true costs of a given product or service in complex
contracts, which makes them “appear more attractive than they really are.”
128
According
to Bar-Gill, this result is a market failure, because it suggests that many consumer
transactions are not economically efficient; that is only the seller is made better off.
Moreover, Bar-Gill notes that neoclassical economic assumptions regarding the capacity
of seller competition to “increase efficiency and protect consumers” are misplaced in the
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
124
See generally Simon James and Alison Edwards, “The Importance of Behavioral Economics in Tax
Research and Tax Reform: The Issues of Tax Compliance and Tax Simplification” (2014) University of
Exeter Discussion Papers in Management, Paper Number 07/14.
125
Oren Bar-Gill, Seduction by Contract (London: Oxford University Press, 2012).
126
Ibid at 2.
127
Ibid.
128
Ibid.
!
!
34!
context of behavioral market failures.
129
Rather, under these conditions, competitive
forces oblige “sellers to exploit the biases and misperceptions of their customers,”
because an altruistic seller will necessarily lose business to the “low-road seller who
offers what the consumer mistakenly believes to be the best contract.”
130
Bar-Gill has detailed this dynamic in a case study of consumer credit products.
131
In this
study he demonstrates that credit card issuers shape their contracts and pricing schemes
“around consumers’ systematic deviations from perfect rationality.”
132
For instance,
consumers habitually underestimate the extent of future borrowing. This reflects the
average consumer’s tendency to misjudge self-control problems coupled with an
optimism bias “that might lead consumers to underestimate the likelihood of
contingencies bearing economic hardship,” (i.e. the probability of losing their job or the
difficulty they will face finding a new one) that are likely to prompt excess borrowing in
addition to factors as mundane as the borrower’s own forgetfulness. Accordingly, credit
card contracts offer features that cater directly to a consumer’s behavioral impulses in
providing immediate benefits such as low introductory interest rates and frequent flyer
points, as well as zero annual and per-transactions fees that appear alongside high long-
term interest rates and large over-limit fees in addition to significant cost penalties for
late payment.
133
In this sense, the credit card contract is “a tool designed to exploit
consumers’ underestimation bias.”
134
In particular, pushing short-term perks, while
inconspicuously burying the complete picture of a borrower’s cost exposure in
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
129
Bar-Gill supra note 125 at 2.
130
Ibid.
131
Oren Bar-Gill, “Seduction by Plastic” (2004) 98 Northwestern University Law Review 1373.
132
Ibid at 1373.
133
Ibid at 1376.
134
Ibid at 1377.
!
!
35!
contractual fine print, contributes to staggering levels of credit card borrowing, which
“renders the consumer more vulnerable to financial hardships.”
135
In crafting a policy
response to the welfare costs associated with excessive consumer borrowing, therefore,
Bar-Gill and others insist that regulators take better stock of consumers’ limited will
power and imperfect rationality.
Despite Bar-Gill’s insights into the relationship between consumer psychology and the
manner in which lenders orient the consumer credit market, few researchers have
expressly applied behavioral economic analysis to payday lending more generally, let
alone considered it in the Canadian policy context. Bar-Gill and Elizabeth Warren, an
active consumer protection advocate, however, have noted, that “payday loans provide
another example of a credit product that can impose substantial costs on imperfectly
informed and imperfectly rational borrowers.”
136
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
135
Bar-Gill supra note 131 at 1378.
136
Oren Bar-Gill and Elizabeth Warren, “Making Credit Safer” (2008) 157 U. Pa. L. Rev. 1 at 44.
!
!
36!
Chapter 4
Behavioral Economic Analysis and Payday Lending Reform
in Canada
Bar-Gill applied behavioral economic analysis in an effort to better explain the staggering
levels of credit card borrowing in the United States. As mentioned above, Bar-Gill
suggests that consumers exhibit a cognitive predisposition that he refers to as
‘underestimation bias’, which undermines their capacity to make sound ex ante
judgments of future borrowing. Underestimation bias is effectively a composite of the
following psychological susceptibilities: imperfect self-control, over-optimism and
hyperbolic discounting. Policymakers often regard credit cards and payday loans as
distinct forms of consumer credit. While credit card and payday loan contracts may bear
different features and determinants, they are nonetheless both vehicles for accumulating
substantial liabilities. Moreover, in both cases, policymakers have questioned the
wisdom and caution of borrowers and lenders alike in generating economically
significant amounts of consumer debt. Accordingly, the cognitive biases used to better
understand the habits and preferences of prime borrowers may provide a useful
framework when conducting a similar inquiry regarding the behavior of their subprime
counterparts.
1 Imperfect Self-Control
Real people often display bounded willpower, which “refers to the fact that human beings
often take actions that they know to be in conflict with their own long-term interests.”
137
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
137
Jolls et al. supra note 108 at 1479.
!
!
37!
This psychological impediment explains why so many people have trouble committing to
a diet or have difficulty quitting smoking. These self-control problems can also help
explain consumer-borrowing decisions.
138
More specifically, according to Bar-Gill and
others, imperfect self-control is a major reason why most consumers habitually
underestimate their future borrowing.
139
Consumers assume they have sufficient
willpower to resist the temptation to finance consumption with debt. Lenders are keenly
aware of this consumer psychology and so they design contracts that exploit borrower
self-control problems by tempting “consumers to borrow more in the short term than they
would prefer in the long run.”
140
Open-ended loans, such as credit cards or lines of
credit, open the proverbial door to these problems of self-control.
141
Close-ended loans,
such as a typical bank loan, determine the amount borrowed up-front. Under these
circumstances, self-control is not at issue, because the loan provides the borrower with no
ex post facto discretion regarding the extent of his or her liability. In this sense, a close-
ended loan serves as a commitment device, which enables “the consumer to constrain her
future self by pre-committing to a maximum amount of debt.”
142
Conversely, credit
cards are not equipped with the same default; that is, they leave the extent of the
borrower’s liability open or capped with an upper-limit. While the consumer may plan
beforehand to limit their borrowing to a pre-determined amount, he or she is not
“contractually bound to that intention, so her willpower will be tested continually.”
143
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
138
Francis supra note 1 at 627.
139
Bar-Gill supra note 131 at 1397.
140
Francis supra at 628.
141
Bar-Gill supra.
142
Ibid.
143
Francis supra.
!
!
38!
At the outset, payday loans appear more closely aligned with traditional bank loans,
because the amount of the debt and related term are similarly determined upfront.
144
Francis notes that for practical purposes, however, payday loans are more analogous to
open-ended loans insofar as consumers can effectively roll them over indefinitely.
145
In
other words, when the original term matures, a payday borrower can shift present costs
into the future by extending the loan over an additional term. In this sense, rollovers are
a “temptation similar to the one credit-card users face when they decide whether to pay
off their entire balance or to pay only the minimum payment.”
146
The rollover option
changes the nature of a payday loan by essentially rendering it a “fixed-principle loan
with an open-ended term.”
147
The availability of rollovers heightens a borrower’s exposure to imperfect self-control
and can lead to certain consumer mistakes.
148
On the one hand, consider borrowers who
are unaware they exhibit bounded willpower. These borrowers take out a payday loan as
a one-time solution to a temporary shortfall in liquidity. They calculate that the related
fees are a relatively small price to pay to meet an immediate expense. They are also
aware of the costs of rolling over a loan, but they believe their loan is “one of the 10% of
loans that do not lead to repeat borrowing.”
149
However, this confidence masks the fact
that borrowers consistently underestimate their future borrowing, “since when the future
comes they may not be able to resist the temptation to extend the loan for two more
weeks and incur the additional unexpected cost of the rollovers, which were not
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
144
Francis supra note 1 at 628; Creola Johnson, “Payday Loans: Shrewd Business or Predatory Lending?”
(2002) 87 Minn. L. Rev. 99 at 64-69.
145
Francis supra.
146
Ibid.
147
Ibid.
148
Ibid.
149
Alan M. White, “Behavior and Contract” (2009) 27 Law & Ineq. 135 at 162.
!
!
39!
calculated as part of the initial loan.”
150
On the other hand, consider borrowers who are
aware they exhibit bounded willpower. These borrowers may mistakenly view a payday
loan no differently than a typical bank loan, namely, as a close-ended transaction.
Moreover, this feature may appeal to these borrowers, because it offers a “deliberate
device” which protects against self-control problems, “just as a dieter might place a lock
on the refrigerator.”
151
For instance, White recounts the story of a payday borrower who
opted for a payday loan in lieu of a credit card offer, because the “repayment system of
the payday loan, in her mind at least, precluded runaway debt.”
152
When payday rolls
around, however, they are presented with the option of deferring their costs to another
loan cycle. Under these circumstances, they quickly “discover that their borrowing is not
as constrained as they had anticipated,” because while they were aware they exhibited
bounded willpower, they did not expect that it would be challenged.
153
Accordingly,
these borrowers “will also have underestimated their future borrowing.”
154
Canadian provinces that have opted to regulate intra-provincial payday loan products,
under the new federal policy model, all ostensibly prohibit the extension of an
outstanding payday loan for a fee or the advance of a new payday loan to pay off an
existing payday loan. At the outset, this gives the impression that the imperfect self-
control bias is not an issue in the context of the Canadian payday lending market. As
mentioned above, however, until very recently payday lenders operating in certain
jurisdictions were able to skirt this obligation by packaging extensions as back-to-back or
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
150
Francis supra note 1 at 628-629.
151
White supra note 149 at 162.
152
Ibid.
153
Francis supra at 629.
154
Ibid.
!
!
40!
concurrent loans as opposed to straightforward rollovers. Even now that most
permutations of fee-based loan extensions are prohibited, enforcement is not always
sufficiently robust to ensure compliance. Moreover, save for inconvenience, very little
appears to prevent a borrower from taking out a loan from a third party payday lender to
defer the costs of an existing loan. Notwithstanding even an assiduously enforced
rollover prohibition, the availability of this option means that only consumers who are
aware of their imperfect self-control are shielded from repeat borrowing. Conversely,
consumers who are entirely unaware of their cognitive predisposition remain vulnerable
to the over-indebtedness associated with repeated payday borrowing, because the original
loan effectively remains open ended.
2 Optimism Bias
Jolls et al. note that a “common feature of human behavior is overoptimism.”
155
In short,
most people operate their day-to-day lives under the mistaken belief that bad events are
far less likely to happen to them than to others.
156
Put another way, “people are often
unrealistically optimistic about the probability that bad things will happen to them.”
157
Vast swaths of empirical research support this insight into human behavior. It appears
that nearly everyone believes they are significantly less likely than others to experience
hardships. For instance, most consumers believe that they are less likely than their
counterparts to suffer the harms commonly associated with the products they use,
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
155
Jolls et al. supra note 108 at 1524.
156
Ibid.
157
Christine Jolls, “Behavioral Economics Analysis of Redistributive Legal Rules” (1998) 51 Vand. L. Rev.
1653 at 1659
!
!
41!
including car accidents and adverse health outcomes.
158
One case study found that
“while smokers do not underestimate statistical risks faced by the population of smokers,
they nonetheless believe that their personal risk is less than that of the average
smoker.”
159
The phenomenon of risk underestimation has also found anecdotal support
in surveys of college undergraduates, who when polled anonymously at the start of a
university course, both consistently and overwhelmingly predict they will score above the
final average grade in the course. As Jolls aptly points out, however, “these beliefs
cannot all be correct; if everyone were below (or above) average, then the average would
be lower (or higher).”
160
Unrealistic optimism or overoptimism can have profound implications for public policy.
For instance, policy efforts to improve the quality of our air, land and water, are often
“characterized by a belief that government must compel the market to behave
environmentally.”
161
Accordingly, governments develop systems of pollution control,
which generally include regulatory prescriptions that oblige private economic actors to
take necessary precautions to protect the environment coupled with a strong enforcement
mechanism to secure compliance with the regulatory system. There appears to be broad
consensus among policymakers that high penalties including but not limited to
substantial monetary penalties, the revocation and suspension of firm operating licenses,
and so on are required ingredients of this regulatory mix, because they not only punish
wrongdoing and avoid a recurrence, but more importantly they deter others from
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
158
Cass R. Sunstein, “Behavioral Economics, Consumption, and Environmental Protection” (2013)
Regulatory Policy Program Working Paper RPP-2013-19 (Cambridge, MA: Mossavar-Rahmani Center for
Business and Government, Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University) at 7.
159
Ibid.
160
Jolls supra note 152 at 1659.
161
Robert N. Stavins and Bradley W. Whitehead, “Pollution Charges for Environmental Protection: A
Policy Link Between Energy and Environment” (1992) 17 Annu. Rev. Energy Environ. 187 at 188.
!
!
42!
committing similar offences.
162
However, if prospective polluters consistently
underestimate their likelihood of being sanctioned, then it seems unlikely that a penalty-
based regulatory regime, even if robustly enforced, will have the desired deterrent effect.
In this sense, sound policy must somehow account for this systematic error in human
judgment.
Accordingly, a thorough consumer protection policy should have a strong appreciation
for the fact that “many consumers exhibit overoptimism, which contributes to overall
underestimation of future borrowing.”
163
In the context of payday lending, for example,
optimism bias contributes to the underestimation of borrowing in the following ways.
Most borrowers believe they are less likely to rollover their payday loan than the average
borrower.
164
As mentioned earlier, borrowers often find it difficult to avoid deferring the
present costs of repayment when tempted with an extension, such as a rollover.
Therefore, optimism bias can cloud a prospective borrower’s ex ante judgment regarding
the actual risk of repeat borrowing and his or her related exposure to over-indebtedness.
Unrealistic optimism causes borrowers to underestimate future borrowing in other ways
as well. In particular, it hinders their capacity to accurately project future expenses,
because most people discount the probability they will face urgent medical bills or car-
repair expenses, for instance.
165
As a result, consumer-borrowing decisions regarding the
size and cost of a given payday loan, tend to be informed only by present-day liquidity
constraints. This can often leave very little room to absorb costs that might arise in
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
162
See Steven Shavell, “Extensions of the Theory of Deterrence” in Foundations of Economic Analysis of
Law (Cambridge, Mass: Harvard University Press, 2004).
163
Francis supra note 1 at 629.
164
Ibid.
165
Ibid.
!
!
43!
relation to future adverse events thus inducing “economic hardships that lead people to
borrow more,” such as getting fired.
166
Furthermore, this condition is actually
exacerbated when individuals “perceive that they have some degree of control over
whether or not the negative event will occur,” which as mentioned earlier, is a common
symptom among payday borrowers.
167
In particular, payday-loan borrowers sometimes
exhibit unrealistic optimism regarding “the likelihood that they will have fewer expenses
and more money in two weeks and, even more, that they will have the self-control to
repay the loan on its maturity date.”
168
Therefore, policy efforts aimed at redressing the
increasingly staggering levels of payday loan debt must necessarily account for the
frequency with which unrealistic projections of future self and circumstance inform
borrower decision-making.
3 Hyperbolic Discounting
Hyperbolic discounting (or present-biased preference) is another source of “weakness of
the will” that can help further explain why so many consumers end up borrowing more
than they had initially anticipated.
169
Neoclassical economic models of consumer
behavior assume a constant discount. In other words, traditional economic analysis
argues that “the difference between the attractiveness or aversiveness of a reward or
punishment today versus tomorrow is the same as the difference between a year from
now and a year and one day from now.”
170
However, there is considerable evidence to
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
166
Francis supra note 1 at 629.
167
Ibid at 629-630.
168
Ibid at 630.
169
Bar-Gill supra note 126 at 1398.
170
Jolls et al. supra note 108 at 1539.
!
!
44!
the contrary, namely, that real people exhibit sharply declining discount rates.
171
In terms
of economics, Bar-Gill explains the phenomenon as follows. Hyperbolic discounters
systematically discount costs and benefits that will materialize in the near future, but
apply smaller additional discounts for costs and benefits that seem further away.
172
In
other words, people exhibit extreme impatience for short run rewards, but this preference
declines steadily over time. This inter-temporal inconsistency of preferences effectively
means that “one’s present desires for the future are at odds with one’s future desires for
the future.”
173
This cognitive tendency directly informs consumer-borrowing patterns. Because
hyperbolic discounters are generally unaware of their “present-biased time preferences”
they rarely take stock of the ways in which this conditions their borrowing habits.
174
In
particular, present bias heightens consumer desire for instant gratification, which can
often result in problems restricting spending. More importantly, when confronted with a
shortfall in liquidity, consumers often rely on credit to fuel their present consumption
desires, which in turn often leads to increased borrowing.
175
Consider the application of this behavioral pattern to a consumer debating whether or not
to sign up for a new credit card. For many consumers this decision rests on a balance
between the utility of having greater access to credit and their concomitant exposure to
greater indebtedness. Therefore, at the outset, point X in time, the consumer evaluates the
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
171
Jolls et al. supra note 108 at 1539
172
Bar-Gill note 126 at 1399.
173
Jolls et al. supra.
174
Bar-Gill supra; Stephan Meier and Charles Sprenger, “Present-biased Preferences and Credit Card
Borrowing” (2010) 2 American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 1 at 193.
175
Meier and Sprenger supra note 169 at 194.
!
!
45!
likelihood he or she will borrow on the card at point Y in the future. The consumer
“weighs the future benefit from a credit card purchase [at Y] against the more distant [Z]
cost of debt repayment, including payment of interest charges.”
176
Taking for granted an
ex ante appreciation that there are substantial costs of borrowing on his or her credit card,
the consumer concludes that their preference at X is not to borrow at Y. In light of this
preference, the consumer moves forward from X under the assumption that he or she will
not borrow at Y, which, in turn, induces the consumer to take out the new credit card. The
consumer is later confronted with an actual borrowing decision at Y; that is “now [Y] is
the present and [Z] is the near future.”
177
Assuming the consumer is a hyperbolic
discounter, they will heavily discount the costs of Z from Y. In other words, “even if the
future [Z] cost of borrowing is substantially higher than the present Y benefits, the
consumer, [at Y], may decide to borrow on her credit card.”
178
According to Bar-Gill,
this reversal in preference (i.e. the preference at X not to borrow developing into a
preference and decision to borrow at Y) “is an immediate implication of hyperbolic
discounting.”
179
Hyperbolic discounting is also helpful in describing how and why consumers frequently
underestimate the total cost of an initial payday-loan transaction.
180
The consumer is
typically confronted with an unanticipated expense. The payday lender offers the
consumer a $300 loan in exchange for a $75 fee payable in two weeks. The consumer
has a choice between paying $300 today and $375 in two weeks. If the consumer heavily
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
176
Bar-Gill note 126 at 1399.
177
Ibid.
178
Ibid.
179
Ibid at 1400.
180
Francis supra note 1 at 630.
!
!
46!
discounts the value of a future surplus of $75 in relation to a present-day surplus of $300
with a deferred cost of $75, then he or she is likely to pay the high fee in exchange for the
loan. According to Francis, the underlying problem is that even if the borrower
demonstrates a strong ex ante preference for repaying the loan in two weeks, he or she is
likely to change their mind.
181
In other words, this preference is likely to reverse when
the loan matures. More specifically, when the two weeks expires, the borrower is
confronted with a new present or “today.”
182
If their tendency to discount future rewards
still applies, then they will yet again “prefer paying a high fee later over paying anything
now.”
183
In this sense, the preference for short-run rewards over long-run costs often
results in “poor predictions of their future credit decisions.”
184
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
181
Francis supra note 1 at 630.
182
Ibid.
183
Ibid at 630-631.
184
Ibid at 631.
!
!
47!
Chapter 5
A Behavioral Approach to Regulation
With these behavioral insights in hand, a clear pattern emerges. Cognitive biases often
induce consumers to make misguided borrowing decisions. They also help explain
increasingly high levels of payday loan debt despite their prohibitive costs and
detrimental consequences for long-term financial health. Problems controlling spending
and borrowing, unrealistic projections of personal exposure to future adverse events as
well as a tendency to discount future costs in favor of present benefits, can make it
difficult for consumers to accurately and reliably project the potential cost burden of a
payday loan. By nature, payday loans are a last resort; that is their high transaction costs
make sense only in the context of an emergency shortfall in liquidity. In other words,
consumers should presumably avoid them except when there is little other option
available to deal with an emergency. The cognitive shortfalls mentioned above, however,
can cloud this critical insight with the result that consumers lose sight of the underlying
basis for payday loans, namely dire financial straits. Moreover, these behavioral traits are
a particular challenge for low-income consumers, who wrestle simultaneously with often
very limited access to mainstream sources of credit. These factors also create very
favorable market conditions for payday lenders. In particular, as mentioned earlier, it
allows them to design and package their loan products in ways that exploit the cognitive
fallibilities of already distressed borrowers.
Knee-jerk regulatory solutions to the problem of payday borrower over-indebtedness
generally involve some combination of absolute interest rate caps and mandated
disclosure. More extreme proposals have called for the outright ban of payday loan
!
!
48!
products. Previous sections of this paper have stressed the inherent weaknesses of these
approaches. On the one hand, bans and caps both acknowledge as well as respond to
low-income consumers who struggle to make rational borrowing decisions. However,
these regulatory efforts not only come at the expense of consumer freedom of choice, but
sometimes also jeopardize the broader safety of low-income consumers. As mentioned
earlier, this consumer demographic frequently exhibits markedly inelastic demand for
credit. This tendency sometimes prompts them to seek out alternative sources of credit,
such as violent criminal lenders, when legitimate lenders are either forced out by
wholesale bans or abandon marketplaces restricted by overly stringent caps. On the other
hand, mandated disclosure regimes tend to be grounded in the standard neo-classical
economic assumption that consumers are rational actors and that market failures, such as
information asymmetries, are the principal culprits for the pitfalls of the payday lending
industry.
Behavioral economic analysis, however, suggests that consumers are imperfectly
rationale. While this shortfall often causes consumers to make suboptimal borrowing
decisions, behavioral economic analysis offers a middle ground between the grim
expectations of consumer behavior that define overtly paternalistic regulatory solutions,
such as bans and caps, and the decidedly more optimistic projections of consumer
decision-making that frame regulation informed by a standard rational actor calculus,
such as crude mandated disclosure regimes. In particular, behavioral economic theory
posits that while bounded rationality and self-control often prompt people to make "ill-
formed" decisions, it is nevertheless possible to "steer people's choices in welfare-
!
!
49!
promoting directions without eliminating freedom of choice."
185
While people's choices
may be conditioned by certain cognitive predispositions, the possible directions these
choices can take can also be circumscribed through regulation. More specifically,
regulation determines the possible starting points from which these cognitive
predispositions can influence the direction of individual behaviour. Short of resorting to
prohibition, regulation cannot completely sever the influence of cognitive bias on
individual decision-making. However, wherever possible, policymakers should design
legal rules or starting points that preserve freedom of choice, but provide the
infrastructure that allows individuals to fully exercise that autonomy, while
simultaneously pointing them in the direction of those choices that policymakers view as
decidedly welfare-promoting.
186
Take for example the growing problem of obesity in Canada. Alarmingly high obesity
rates are increasingly linked to various chronic diseases, such as hypertension and Type 2
diabetes.
187
The economic cost to Canada's public health system for treating these
diseases was roughly $7.1 billion in 2011.
188
Obesity in Canada is hence a significant
public policy issue. High obesity rates are also increasingly attributable to excessive
sugar intake.
189
In other words, the dietary preferences of some consumers produce
unhealthy outcomes, the burden for which is felt not only by those individuals, but also
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
185
Cass R. Sunstein and Richard H. Thaler, "Libertarian Paternalism Is Not an Oxymoron" (2003) 70
University of Chicago Law Review 4 at 1159.
186
Ibid.
187
See e.g. Richard J. Johnson et al., "Potential role of sugar (fructose) in the epidemic of hypertension,
obesity and the metabolic syndrome, diabetes, kidney disease, and cardiovascular disease" (2007) 86 Am J
Clin Nutr 4.
188
Public Health Agency of Canada, Obesity in Canada: A Joint Report from the Public Health Agency of
Canada and the Canadian Institute for Health Information (Ottawa: Public Healthy Agency of Canada,
2011).
189
Johnson et al. supra note 183.
!
!
50!
by Canada's public health system as a whole. Outside of Canada, the public policy
response to this challenge has ranged from sin or excise taxes on unhealthy foods and
beverages to their wholesale prohibition, such as former New York Mayor Michael
Bloomberg's now infamous effort to ban the sale of mega sized sugary soft drinks.
However, these overtly paternalistic regulatory efforts often produce unintended adverse
consequences, notwithstanding the best intentions of policymakers to discourage
unhealthy behaviour. Sin taxes on unhealthy foods, for instance, tend to be regressive;
that is, they fall disproportionately on consumers at the lower end of the income
distribution. The basis for sin taxes is the notion that higher prices necessarily disrupt
marketplace decisions to consume high-calorie drinks, for example. However, lower-
calorie drinks are not necessarily less costly than their high-calorie counterparts. As a
result, the impact of raising prices to stifle obesity rates, which are widely dispersed and
affect all population groups
190
, is borne more substantially by poorer consumers. It
assumes further that potential substitute drinks not captured by the excise, such as orange
juice, contain less sugar. Most importantly, sin tax proponents also appear to assume that
individuals are inherently incapable of making healthy consumption decisions for
themselves. However, this ignores viable alternatives to paternalism, such as the recent
efforts of the federal government of Canada to implement changes to food labeling in
order to help consumers better understand the health implications of the foods they
consume. The recently proposed changes to the nutrition facts and ingredient labels on
packaged food includes a requirement that food manufacturers "clearly state on nutrition
labels the amount of sugar they have added to products" in addition to "suggested serving
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
190
J. Slater et al., "Socio-demographic and geographic analysis of overweight and obesity in Canadian
adults using the Canadian Community Healthy Survey" (2009) 30 Chronic Diseases in Canada 1 at 12.
!
!
51!
sizes that reflect what people actually eat, and mak[e] the calorie count more
prominent."
191
Not only does this strategy allow consumers to easily compare sugar
content among different brands, but in providing a standardized suggested serving size
consumers are in a sense forced to juxtapose their eating habits against a healthy
benchmark. As Sunstein notes, this type of disclosure is more likely to prove effective,
because it avoids abstract statements regarding what constitutes healthy eating in favor of
transmitting information that is "concrete, straightforward, simple, meaningful, timely
and salient" while also "clearly identify[ing] the steps that might be taken to obtain the
relevant goal" namely avoiding overconsumption of sugar by indicating the requisite
serving size associated with a healthy intake.
192
In other words, the disclosure is
behaviorally informed.
193
Along similar lines, in order to address the concerns commonly attributed to payday
lending, such as borrower over indebtedness, while simultaneously avoiding the
drawbacks of regulation that either assumes too little or too much of consumers, the
resulting policy framework must take stock of the behavioral predispositions at the heart
of the problem. These insights better place policymakers to design regulatory
frameworks that equip consumers with the necessary tools to overcome their inherent
cognitive predispositions that impede arriving at informed borrowing decisions. Along
this line of reasoning, policymakers might consider the following regulatory proposals.
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
191
Eric Atkins, "Ottawa seeks overhaul of how food labels measure sugar intake" The Globe and Mail (14
July 2014), online: The Globe and Mail <http://www.theglobeandmail.com>.
192
Cass R. Sunstein, "Behavioral Economics, Consumption, and Environmental Protection" (2013)
Forthcoming in Handbook on Research in Sustainable Consumption (Lucia Reisch & John Thogersen
eds.), online: SSRN <http://ssrn.com/abstract=2296015> at 9.
193
Ibid at 8.
!
!
52!
Disclosure is the “least controversial mode of legal intervention” with which to regulate
predatory lending.
194
Disclosure regimes are “predicated upon the notion that if
consumers are provided sufficient information about loan products, including for
example, annual percentage rate, finance charges, payments schedules, settlement costs
and the like, they will have the information necessary to shop competitively for loans.”
195
In this sense, mandated disclosure is the normative preference of neoclassical economics
and policymakers alike, because it allows consumers to compare products “relatively
quickly and with few or no transaction costs.”
196
In the context of subprime lending,
however, the “theoretical premises of disclosure regulation seem quaint and utterly
insufficient.”
197
The various cognitive biases exhibited by borrowers suggest that
disclosure regimes that merely enforce the conspicuous disclosure of statistical
information, such as interest rates, simply do not go far enough.
198
In other words, these
disclosures “may remedy imperfect information, but they cannot remedy imperfect
rationality.”
199
As Bar-Gill points out, “if a consumer believes that she will not borrow
on her card, she will not mind the high interest rate, no matter how large the font.”
200
In
this sense, the Ontario Payday Loans Act, 2008, which requires lenders to unambiguously
disclose the total costs of borrowing, for example, by displaying posters in-store that set
out in 144 point font the maximum allowable cost per $100 borrowed, are not sufficient
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
194
Bar-Gill supra note 126 at 1378; R. Stephen Painter Jr. “Subprime Lending, Suboptimal Bankruptcy: A
Proposal to Amend ss. 522(f)(1)(B) and 548(a)(1)(B) of the Bankruptcy Code to Protect Subprime
Mortgage Borrowers and Their Unsecured Creditors” (2006) 38 Loyola University Chicago Law Journal
81 at 95.
195
Painter Jr. supra at 95-96.
196
Baher Azmy, “Squaring the Predatory Lending Circle” (2005) 57 Fla. L. Rev. 295 at 351.
197
Ibid.
198
Ibid.
199
Francis supra note 1 at 634.
200
Ibid.
!
!
53!
tools for borrowers to make an informed individualized borrowing decision.
201
Rather, if
the problem is that consumers routinely underestimate their future borrowing, an
effective mandated disclosure regime must find ways to warn of the dangers inherent in a
payday loan contract that better resonate with prospective borrowers. In other words,
effective disclosure must “cure the underestimation bias.”
202
Jolls and Sunstein therefore suggest that policymakers respond to instances where
bounded rationality prompts suboptimal social outcomes by attempting to “debias
through law by steering people in more rational directions.”
203
‘Debiasing through law’
essentially involves using certain cognitive biases to counteract others. To offset the
impact of optimism bias on consumer-borrowing habits, for instance, policymakers might
develop regulation that implements the availability heuristic. The technical definition of
a heuristic is “a simple procedure that helps find adequate, though often imperfect,
answers to difficult questions.”
204
Individuals commonly employ heuristics when making
judgments in situations of uncertainty.
205
The availability heuristic refers to the tendency
of people to overestimate the plausibility of a particular development on the basis of
knowledge or information that readily comes to mind.
206
For example, people might
“assess the risk of heart attack among middle-aged people by recalling such occurrences
among one’s acquaintances.”
207
In other words, events that conjure vivid mental images
“will be more available when individuals make decisions and thus disproportionately
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
201
See Payday Loans Act, 2008, S.O. 2008, c. 9, s 14.
202
Bar-Gill supra note 126 at 1421.
203
Christine Jolls and Cass R. Sunstein, “Debiasing through Law” (2006) 35 The Journal of Legal Studies
1 at 199.
204
Daniel Kahneman, “Thinking, Fast and Slow” (London: Penguin Books, 2011) at 98.
205
Tversky and Kahneman supra note 109 at 1124.
206
Ibid.
207
Ibid.
!
!
54!
impact [their] judgments.” Therefore, according to Jolls and Sunstein, “because making
an occurrence available to individuals will increase their estimates of the likelihood of the
occurrence, availability is a promising strategy for debiasing those who suffer from
excessive optimism.”
208
As Francis notes, Health Canada’s requirement that cigarette
packages bear full-color warnings that feature graphic images, which include a diseased
tongue and a child wearing an oxygen mask, are an attempt to use the availability
heuristic to combat the incidence of smoking.
209
Accordingly, Francis suggests that utilizing this debiasing mechanism can help frustrate
the underestimation bias, the arguably principal catalyst for repeat borrowing and related
over-indebtedness among low-income consumers of payday loan products. In particular,
she suggests that policymakers adopt what she refers to as a “specific narrative
disclosure.”
210
This disclosure model accentuates the potential costs and losses related to
payday loan products, by providing prospective borrowers with a “vivid narrative of a
borrower who has fallen into the debt trap” coupled with frequency statistics regarding
repeat borrowing rates. Francis provides the following examples of such narratives,
adjusted for the existing Canadian regulatory context:
Jamie Johnson received a two-week payday loan of $300. Her next paycheck did
not go as far as expected, so [after repaying her loan she took out a second two-
week loan] for another $45 fee. Four months later, Jamie [realized she had paid
$360 in fees, because of her decision to take out the first loan];
And,
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
208
Jolls and Sunstein supra note 189 at 210.
209
Francis supra note 1 at 634-635.
210
Ibid at 636.
!
!
55!
9 out of 10 payday loans are issued to borrowers with 5 or more payday loans a
year.
Francis notes that these disclosures serve two interrelated purposes. Firstly, they provide
a potential borrower with a personal narrative that breaks down the costs of a payday loan
in an easily digestible way. Secondly, the vivid illustration of those costs makes them
“more available to consumers in a way that will counteract their underestimation of
future borrowing.”
211
In other words, “a few lines relating the actual experience of
another payday-loan customer and the costs that he or she incurred will help customers
understand the real costs of the loan, even if they cannot grasp the complexity of the
APR.”
212
Bar-Gill also recommends individualizing the information disclosed to consumers. This
might involve requiring lenders to remind the consumer of their past borrowing habits.
This information would be more difficult for consumers to dismiss “as an abstract
statistic that does not apply to [them].”
213
In turn, this disclosure could help hyperbolic
discounters as well as borrowers who exercise imperfect self-control better predict their
future borrowing. For example, if policymakers require lenders to inform prospective
borrowers of the total number of payday loans they received in the past year, then
borrowers would better appreciate the broader cost ramifications of the loan.
214
Another
application of individualized disclosure might involve lenders informing borrowers of the
total dollar amount in payday loan fees they paid in the previous year. According to
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
211
Francis supra note 1 at 637.
212
Ibid.
213
Bar-Gill supra note 126 at 1422.
214
Ibid; Francis supra at 637-638.
!
!
56!
Francis, by outlining the costs accumulated by the borrower, these disclosures become
more salient, and the loss more apparent.”
215
An obvious challenge for policymakers contemplating "psychologically-guided
information disclosure" is to determine how, when and where the narratives outlined
above should be communicated to borrowers.
216
As Sunstein and Thaler note, "it is
hopelessly inadequate to say that when people lack relevant information, the best
response is to provide it."
217
Rather, any such effort must account both for how
individuals process information as well as the ways in which the delivery of information
can influence that process.
218
Policymakers generally better succeed at drawing a
marketplace's attention to certain features of a product, for example, when those features
are salient to consumers, whereas consumers seem to under react to information that is
not salient.
219
The salience of information depends heavily on its presentation; that is,
"the behavioral consequences of otherwise identical information depend on how it is
framed."
220
Initiatives that rely principally on disclosure to achieve a given policy goal
must, therefore, be particularly “attentive to the importance of salience.”
221
For
example, binge drinking results, at least in part, from the relative ease with which
consumers can access low-cost alcoholic beverages. Accordingly, sin taxes are
sometimes applied as an economic tool with which to curb excessive alcohol
consumption. Sunstein notes, however, that the efficacy of these taxes varies
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
215
Francis supra note 1 at 638.
216
Marianne Bertrand and Adair Morse, "Information Disclosure, Cognitive Biases, and Payday
Borrowing" (2011) 66 The Journal of Finance 6 at 1865.
217
Cass R. Sunstein and Richard H. Thaler, "Libertarian Paternalism Is Not an Oxymoron" (2003) 70
University of Chicago Law Review 4 at 1182.
218
Ibid at 1182-1183.
219
Sunstein supra note 187 at 15.
220
Sunstein and Thaler supra at 1182.
221
Ibid.
!
!
57!
significantly depending on the moment at which the added cost is introduced to
prospective buyers. More specifically, sin taxes clearly identified in the posted price of
alcoholic beverages have a decidedly more downward sloping effect on alcohol
consumption than when they are applied at the register.
222
In this sense, it appears that
there are not only substantive, but also structural pre-conditions to salient information
disclosure. Accordingly, successful efforts to debias payday borrower overoptimism
through psychologically-guided disclosure, for example, may rest further on delivering
that information at a point in the loan process that resonates with prospective
borrowers.
223
In developing a methodology for this intervention it is useful to briefly consider the
experience of payday lending from the borrower's perspective. Bertrand and Morse
capture that experience in the following account:
The loan process begins when the customer approaches a counter or window
where a customer service representative (CSR) works and requests a new
loan or a refinancing of an existing loan. The customer provides the lenders
with a physical copy of her latest bank statement and paycheck stub, and the
CSR verifies and updates the employer, income, banking, and personal
coordinate information. The CSR takes a few minutes to review the bank
account information via a subscriber service and to enter the loan request and
borrower information into the system. The company software processes the
application and determines whether and how much can be loaned to the
customer. (No subjective input enters the loan acceptance process, and local
staff cannot influence loan acceptance.) If a loan is offered, the customer
signs forms that disclose the terms of the loan and convey the information
mandated by state laws, including the APR. The CSR puts the cash and a
copy of the paperwork inside a standard size (4 x 9 inch) company envelope
and writes the payment due date and amount due on the calendar printed on
the outside of the envelope.
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
222
Sunstein and Thaler supra note 217 at 1182.
223
Bertrand and Morse supra note 212 at 1865.
!
!
58!
From a behavioral perspective, the substantive quality of the information presented here
is clearly problematic. The chronology also highlights an important structural barrier,
namely the timing of the disclosure. The alcohol consumption tax outlined above
suggests that consumers tend to under react to information disclosed toward the end of a
transaction. From a behavioral standpoint it appears that consumers are already
"psychologically committed to the deal at this point."
224
In other words, the salience of
information disclosures diminishes the further a consumer moves along the transactional
timeline. In the context of payday loans, Edwards notes that this condition is exacerbated
further by "high-pressure tactics from salespeople who discourage consumers from
walking away from a deal at the point of consummation and the burdens of further credit
shopping."
225
Therefore, the design of behavioral information disclosures must resolve
this timing and coordination issue.
Presumably the most effective solution is to move the consumer's initial interaction with
these disclosures closer to the outset of the loan process. However, this begs a number of
important questions. Firstly, at what precise moment in the chronology outlined above
should specific narrative disclosures be presented to consumers shopping for payday
loans? Secondly, even if the relevant timing issue is resolved, how can regulators ensure
that prospective borrowers actively engage with those narratives? Along similar lines,
how can regulators ensure that consumer service representatives do not actively interfere
with this process?
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
224
Matthew A. Edwards, "Empirical and Behavioral Critiques of Mandatory Disclosure: Socio-Economics
and the Quest for Truth in Lending" (2004-2005) 14 Cornell J.L. & Pub. Pol'y 199 at 227.
225
Ibid.
!
!
59!
In a recent field experiment, Bertrand and Morse tested possible alternatives to the
traditional payday loan process outlined above by altering it in two significant ways.
226
Firstly, at the front end of the loan process, prospective borrowers were asked to
complete a short survey upon submitting their application and related support materials.
The survey asked borrowers to identify the expenses motivating the loan application,
whether they intended to use the loan for something other than an emergency, to
anticipate their capacity to absorb the cost of repaying the loan, and to describe their
broader spending behavior.
227
This information was used to capture a profile of the
average payday borrower. Secondly, at the back end of the loan process, the regular cash
envelopes, which generally indicate the payment due date in addition to the amount due,
were replaced with custom envelopes printed with three different information
treatments.
228
The first treatment juxtaposed the median annual interest rate of payday
loans (443%) against the median rates of other types of loans, such as installment car
loans (18%), credit cards (16%), and subprime mortgages (10%).
229
The second
treatment indicated the cost in fees of borrowing $300 - assuming a fee of $15 per $100
borrowed - over two weeks ($45), one month ($90), two months ($180), and three
months ($270) respectively.
230
The treatment also provided a comparison of these costs
against borrowing the same sum on a credit card with a standard interest rate ($2.50,
$5.00, $10.00, and $15 respectively).
231
The third treatment provided information
regarding the frequency with which payday borrowers renew their loans. The treatment
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
226
Bertrand and Morse supra note 215 at 1868 ff.
227
Ibid at 1869.
228
Ibid at 1871.
229
Ibid at 1872.
230
Ibid.
231
Ibid.
!
!
60!
envelope explained that "Out of 10 typical people taking out a new payday loan... 2 1/2
people will pay it back without renewing, 2 people will renew 1 or 2 times, 1 1/2 people
will renew 3 or 4 times, 4 people will renew 5 or more times."
232
Bertrand and Morse suggest that each treatment framed the cost of payday loans in ways
that are easier for borrowers to internalize than current mandated disclosures.
233
By
incorporating "behavioural principles from psychology and economics," the treatments
armed borrowers with the requisite cognitive infrastructure to de-bias the mental lapses
often attributed to payday borrowing mistakes, such as repeat borrowing. For instance,
the APR information treatment "makes salient the stark difference in annual rates
compared to APRs with which [borrowers] are more familiar."
234
Along similar lines, the
dollar information treatment not only provides a dollar-for-dollar comparison to another
financial product "that helps borrowers assess the fundamental value of payday
borrowing," but also extends that comparison over time. In turn, the treatment
encourages borrowers to take a longer-term view of the cost of a payday loan, which
"may partly undo borrowers' tendency to apply too narrow a decision frame."
235
The
refinancing information treatment conveys, in simple language, the frequency with which
average borrowers refinance their payday loans, which may help debias borrowers
"overconfident about their ability to repay a loan quickly or about their future income and
expense levels."
236
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
232
Bertrand and Morse supra note 215 at 1872.
233
Ibid at 1866
234
Ibid at 1871.
235
Ibid.at 1873.
236
Ibid.
!
!
61!
Bertrand and Morse implemented these treatments through one of the largest payday
lending companies operating in the United States, which gave them "access to all the
customers entering 77 stores spanning 11 states over a period of 2 weeks."
237
The
participating lender later provided the authors "with administrative data on all
transactions the participating borrowers engaged in with the lender before and after
[their] intervention."
238
The authors found that individuals who interacted with the
various information treatments were 5.9% less likely to borrow from the lender in the pay
cycles following the intervention, which translated to an 11% decline relative to their
control group.
239
Bertrand and Morse concede that, at first glance, this reduction in
numbers may seem like a disappointing result, particularly for those who believe that
payday borrowing is inherently irrational.
240
Regardless, the field experiment provides
concrete empirical data that disclosure, which is "inspired by, and responds to, cognitive
biases or limitations that surround the payday borrowing decision" has the capacity to
influence consumers calculating whether to take out a payday loan, as compared to more
traditional regulatory approaches. All told, the field trial suggests:
That getting consumers to think more broadly about the decision to take up a
payday loan - by stressing how the fees accompanying a given loan add up
over time, by presenting comparative cost information to increase
evaluability, or to a lesser degree, by disclosing information on the typical
repayment profile of payday borrowers - results in a reduction in the amount
of payday borrowing.
241
Bertrand and Morse's field experiment is encouraging in a further respect as well. The
underlying focus of their research concerned the influence of behaviorally informed
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
237
Bertrand and Morse supra note 215 at 1867.
238
Ibid.
239
Ibid.
240
Ibid at 1889.
241
Ibid.at 1867.
!
!
62!
information disclosure on future borrowing as opposed to its impact on a consumer's
initial calculus to borrow. In turn, they measured whether psychology-guided disclosure
presented to borrowers on the back-end of a payday lending transaction can debias the
cognitive shortfalls that often contribute to irrational future borrowing. Their results
demonstrate an arguably significant statistical relationship between behavioral
approaches to information disclosure and borrower decision-making. However, the
broader debate surrounding the payday lending industry concerns the influence of
cognitive bias on a consumer's capacity to accurately reflect on cost before entering into
an initial loan. Given the diminishing returns of information disclosed to consumers as
they approach the back-end of a transaction, policymakers might nonetheless consider
applying at the outset of the loan process, information treatments similar to those
employed in Bertrand and Morse's field trial, the specific narrative disclosures outlined
by Francis or the individualized disclosures proposed by Bar-Gill.
Certain skeptics contend, however, "that disclosure regimes - be they as sophisticated as
possible - do not offer a sufficient solution to the problems posed by irrational
consumption."
242
This view essentially instructs that disclosure, whether or not informed
by insights from behavioral economics, is not sufficient to empower otherwise boundedly
rational consumers to “walk away from a bad deal and keep on searching for a better
one.”
243
These critics do not deny that cognitive biases can lead to mistakes in market
behavior, but rather view disclosure as a misguided tool with which to correct the
resulting market failures. Teichman posits that the difficulties consumers face evaluating
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
242
Doron Teichman, "Too Little, Too Much, Not Just Right: Seduction by Contract and the Desirable
Scope of Contract Regulation" (2014) 9 Jerusalem Review of Legal Studies 1 at 53.
243
Ibid at 56.
!
!
63!
complex financial products are so profound, that “direct regulation, including the
prohibition of certain practices, may be the only way to provide appropriate
protections.”
244
He posits further that behaviorally-informed disclosure regimes may not
only be an ineffective alternative to direct regulation, but may also unwittingly produce a
regulatory false-positive, namely a sense that policymakers have taken the necessary
corrective action, when, in fact, more intrusive regulation is necessary.
245
Epstein also agrees that reformers should tread cautiously in translating behavioral
findings into concrete regulatory actions, albeit for different reasons.
246
Disclosure
regimes are politically popular as much for their ostensible capacity to correct behavioral
losses while preserving freedom of choice as they are for doing so cheaply; that is,
behavioral economics posits that "most of the implementation costs are borne by the
regulated parties."
247
However, Epstein has misgivings about these alleged benefits. In
particular, he doubts that behavioral disclosure regimes constitute a cheap regulatory fix.
Rather, he suggests, "legislation and regulation always cost money."
248
Consumer
responses to government regulation are rarely universal.
249
While behavioral disclosure
regimes may be simpler than existing approaches and work effectively on some
consumers, many others lack the “skills that will enable them to make use of the
information they are provided with," such as basic linguistic and arithmetic
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
244
Teichman supra note 238 at 58.
245
Ibid at 58-59.
246
Richard A. Epstein, “Behavioral Error, Misguided Regulation, and Technical Innovation: Some
Observations about Oren Bar-Gill’s Seduction by Contract” (2014) 9 Jerusalem Review of Legal Studies 1
at 93.
247
Teichman supra at 58.
248
Ibid.
249
Epstein supra at 88.
!
!
64!
aptitudes.
250
Epstein suggests that an effective behavioral disclosure regime, therefore,
would likely need to address this shortfall, possibly by relying on ancillary public
education programs, which are almost certain to prove expensive.
251
According to
Epstein, however, behavioral economics tends to overlook these costs. In the process, it
leaves policymakers with a misguided understanding that regulating behavioral losses
involves only modest public spending, when, in fact, the underlying cost burden is liable
to prove considerably more expensive. In turn, Epstein worries that policymakers may
regulate behavioral market failures without the benefit of a sound cost-benefit calculus,
the linchpin of rational law reform.
252
Accordingly, Epstein suggests that policymakers
avoid falling down this regulatory rabbit hole by "invest[ing] reform dollars in other
projects, relying on market forces to keep the size of the admitted behavioral losses in
check."
253
Empirical data may be required to blunt these criticisms. Put another way, policymakers
hoping to incorporate behavioral insights into their regulatory toolkit may need to
demonstrate that psychologically-guided disclosure, for example, represents more than
good intentions. Accordingly, these policymakers might consider proposing their
reforms as 'temporary law'. Temporary laws are essentially "regulations that include an
expiration date." Ginsburg et al. argue that making restrictions temporary allows for,
[...] a form of political compromise that might decrease the costs of political
struggles. Proponents of regulation will accomplish their goal but will, by
accepting an expiration date, bear the costs of extension. Opponents of
regulation will be less opposed to temporary rules than permanent ones.
Furthermore, if the proponents and opponents of regulation have genuine
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
250
Teichman supra at 57; Epstein supra note 243 at 88.
251
Epstein supra.
252
Ibid at 93.
253
Ibid.
!
!
65!
uncertainty about the consequences of a particular intervention, they might
welcome the information revealed by the temporary law.
254
In other words, temporary legislation can create space for policymakers to gather
information about institutional reforms that would otherwise run into political opposition
driven largely by "uncertainty as to what the effects of such a law would be."
255
In turn,
policymakers can better evaluate whether a proposed reform is more closely aligned with
an efficient outcome than the status quo, without having to absorb the fiscal burden and
attendant political risks inherent in permanent legislation.
256
If the premise on which the
temporary law is based proves false, then upon its expiry the relevant regulatory
framework merely reverts back to the status quo ante.
257
Conversely, if the temporary
law achieves what it set out to achieve, namely a more efficient outcome than the status
quo, then the targeted reform is less likely to face the informational hurdles preventing it
from becoming the dominant regulatory device. In this sense, "temporary law works like
an experiment."
258
Applied to payday lending reform, a temporary legislative approach to psychologically-
guided mandated disclosure may temper the conflict between its libertarian critics and
those favoring more intrusive regulation, such as permanent bans. On the one hand, the
temporary reform can reveal whether or not psychologically-guided disclosure regimes,
in and of themselves, are sufficient to significantly move consumer behavior toward
efficient outcomes or whether more intrusive intervention is needed. On the other hand,
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
254
Ginsburg et al., "Libertarian Paternalism, Path Dependence, and Temporary Law" (2014) 81 University
of Chicago Law Rewiew 291 at 297-298.
255
Ibid at 326.
256
Ibid at 358-259.
257
Ibid at 297.
258
Ibid.
!
!
66!
as a temporary regulatory exercise it involves no enforcement costs; if the law's
effectiveness correspondingly diminishes, then this suggests behavioral disclosure
treatments are not necessarily a low-cost stand-alone strategy for addressing behavioral
losses, which thereby reinforces the libertarian critique.
Along these lines, policymakers might consider the following modest proposal. In order
to submit a payday loan application, prospective borrowers must study a short narrative
that conveys, in simple terms, the potential finance costs of a payday loan. As a further
pre-condition for loan eligibility, these consumers must also complete a rudimentary
questionnaire that involves simply repeating the information gleaned from the narrative.
This approach to disclosure ostensibly satisfies many of the behavioral considerations
outlined by the literature that has been reviewed in this thesis. Disclosure staged at the
outset of the loan process is more likely to register as salient with consumers and the
questionnaire ostensibly encourages more active engagement with the relevant
information, which may help prospective borrowers to think more long term before
proceeding with the loan process. Regulators could also adopt a number of strategies to
thwart customer service representatives from interfering with this process. For instance,
there might be concern that lenders will encourage their customer service representatives
to become sufficiently familiar with the narrative and related questionnaire to be able to
hurry prospective borrowers through the loan process by supplying them with the correct
answers up front. Above and beyond expressly warning borrowers not to interact with
third parties when completing the questionnaire, regulators could also employ multiple
narrative disclosures that are not only regularly updated, but also delivered to payday
lending outfits in serial numbered pre-sealed envelopes while further requiring borrowers
!
!
67!
to reseal their completed questionnaires before submitting them to the lender. Payday
lenders could also be required to submit all completed as well as any uncompleted
questionnaires to regulators as a condition of maintaining their license. Moreover, this
type of intervention does not require regulators to disturb current regulatory measures.
Rather, policymakers can implement this type of information disclosure in lockstep with
existing requirements, such as the obligation that lenders conspicuously display the dollar
amount of their fees in-store. In a sense, this approach is relatively similar to the legal
requirement, in Canada, that skill-testing questions, such as a basic arithmetic exercise,
be completed as a pre-condition to participating in the contests or give-aways commonly
held by department stores and grocery chains.
In sum, it may be useful to reframe disclosure as a debiasing mechanism to counteract the
underestimation bias that routinely contributes to excessive borrowing and less as a tool
for relaying abstract financial details to consumers who are very unlikely to appreciate
them as guideposts for making informed borrowing decisions. In this sense, debiasing
disclosures “have the potential to make a significant impact by reducing the welfare costs
imposed by repetitive borrowing mistakes.”
259
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
259
Francis supra note 1 at 638.
!
!
68!
Chapter 6
Conclusion
Payday lending regulation in Canada has undergone a dramatic transformation in recent
years. Under the previous regime, all lenders were subject to a federal usury rate ceiling.
The government did not, however, enforce the federal interest rate cap against payday
lenders. As a result, payday lenders were largely unsupervised by federal and provincial
regulatory authorities. In turn, they consistently levied interest rate charges well in
excess of the federal usury limit. Given the ballooning debt loads of many payday
borrowers, the federal government acknowledged that better protection than the
regulatory framework provided was needed. The federal government thus opted to
delegate authority over the payday loan industry to the provinces. The resulting policy
make-up now includes a patchwork of outright bans, limitations on interest rates and
mandated disclosure rules. Aside from the prohibitory model adopted by Quebec and
Newfoundland, the rest of the provinces appear to have embraced the notion that if
borrowers are unambiguously provided with the statistical determinants of a prospective
loan, they will make the borrowing decision that best accords with their needs. This
paper has argued that this framework of disclosure is fundamentally misguided. In
particular, it is grounded in the notion that consumer-decision makers are inherently
rational actors. However, increasingly robust insights from behavioral economics
demonstrate that the decisions of most borrowers are informed by cognitive biases that
cloud their ability to make informed decisions regarding the extent of their debt
obligations. In particular, borrowers consistently underestimate the likelihood that they
will borrow for longer than the standard two-week loan. In turn, payday borrowers
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routinely incur unexpected additional costs that often result in financial paralysis.
Moreover, payday lenders are keenly aware of consumer psychology. As a result, they
design and package their loan products to respond to the consumer underestimation bias.
Accordingly, this paper suggests that Canadian policymakers consider adopting a similar
strategy, namely, applying mandated disclosure regimes that involve using certain
cognitive biases to counteract others. In particular, these debiasing measures would take
aim at borrowers who suffer from excessive optimism by making the potential
consequences of payday loan related over-indebtedness more available to them in a
corresponding effort to increase their estimates of the likelihood of the occurrence. This
task could be accomplished in any number of ways. Debiasing disclosure might involve
requiring lenders to present prospective borrowers with vivid narratives of typical payday
borrowers in financial distress, not unlike the requirement that cigarette packages bear
graphic photos of smokers suffering from tobacco-related illnesses. Regulators might
also require lenders to provide borrowers with individualized statistics and information
regarding their past borrowing habits, including the number of payday loans issued to
them in the previous year in addition to the dollar amount in fees they paid to facilitate
those loans. Altogether, the goal is to nudge consumers to better appreciate the real costs
of payday loans, so that they can make informed decisions about whether to use them.
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70!
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